Sport Picks

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FC Moravia vs Guadalupe

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Sun, Aug 2, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Moravia host Guadalupe in the Liga de Ascenso. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: FC Moravia at 1.75 goals for, 1 against; Guadalupe at 0.5 for, 1.38 against. Past meetings favor Guadalupe slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 1, 2025, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 0.75) point toward FC Moravia. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FC Moravia
6%
Draws
4%
Guadalupe
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Moravia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Moravia lately — more wins on the board than Guadalupe.
  • FC Moravia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
FC Moravia Clean Sheet 20%
Guadalupe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Moravia Guadalupe
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 9 4
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
FC Moravia vs Guadalupe
1:2
May 24, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Guadalupe vs FC Moravia
1:1
Mar 5, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
FC Moravia vs Guadalupe
0:1
Jan 19, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Guadalupe vs FC Moravia
0:4
Sep 19, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Guadalupe vs FC Moravia
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Moravia 85 / 100
Guadalupe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Moravia Guadalupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadalupe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

FC Moravia's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

FC Moravia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Moravia VS Guadalupe
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Moravia

(Home)
26 Apr
ADR Jicaral
2 : 0
FC Moravia
21 Apr
FC Moravia
1 : 1
ADR Jicaral
12 Apr
FC Moravia
3 : 2
Pitbulls
05 Apr
Cariari Pococi
0 : 1
FC Moravia
30 Mar
FC Moravia
0 : 1
Escorpiones
Page 1 of 6

Guadalupe

(Away)
26 Apr
Guadalupe
0 : 5
Cartagines
23 Apr
Saprissa
5 : 0
Guadalupe
18 Apr
Guadalupe
1 : 0
Zeledon
13 Apr
San Carlos
4 : 0
Guadalupe
06 Apr
Alajuelense
1 : 1
Guadalupe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AD Sarchi00000:00
2Grecia00000:00
3ADR Jicaral00000:00
4AD Rosario00000:00
5Cofutpa00000:00
6Quepos FC00000:00
7Team will be confirmed00000:00
8Santa Cruz00000:00
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Carmelita00000:00
2CS Uruguay00000:00
3Cariari Pococi00000:00
4Aserri00000:00
5Guadalupe00000:00
6FC Moravia00000:00
7Santa Ana00000:00
8Pitbulls00000:00
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)