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FC Moravia vs Guadalupe

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Chacon E.
54' Event
Chacon E.
63' Event
Brown M.

AI Match Summary

Guadalupe in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guadalupe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
FC Moravia
15%
Draws
21%
Guadalupe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Moravia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Moravia lately — more wins on the board than Guadalupe.
  • FC Moravia are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FC Moravia Clean Sheet 20%
Guadalupe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Moravia Guadalupe
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 7 4
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.22 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Guadalupe vs FC Moravia
0:3
Aug 1, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
FC Moravia vs Guadalupe
1:2
Jun 1, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
FC Moravia vs Guadalupe
1:2
May 24, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Guadalupe vs FC Moravia
1:1
Mar 5, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
FC Moravia vs Guadalupe
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Moravia Compare

Top Goalscorer Brown M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Guadalupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Chacon E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Moravia 67 / 100
Guadalupe 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Moravia Guadalupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Moravia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadalupe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

FC Moravia's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Guadalupe lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Moravia VS Guadalupe
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Moravia

(Home)
19 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 3
FC Moravia
15 Sept
Pitbulls
3 : 2
FC Moravia
05 Sept
FC Moravia
1 : 2
Santa Ana
29 Aug
CS Uruguay
1 : 0
FC Moravia
21 Aug
FC Moravia
0 : 1
Cariari Pococi
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Guadalupe

(Away)
19 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 3
FC Moravia
13 Sept
Santa Ana
2 : 1
Guadalupe
06 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 1
CS Uruguay
29 Aug
Cariari Pococi
3 : 3
Guadalupe
25 Aug
Guadalupe
0 : 1
Carmelita
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 7 4 3 0 11:4 15
2 Quepos FC 7 4 1 2 12:6 13
3 Grecia 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
4 AD Sarchi 7 3 2 2 8:10 11
5 AD Rosario 7 3 1 3 10:10 10
6 Santa Cruz 7 2 0 5 10:15 6
7 Cofutpa 7 0 1 6 4:13 1
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Ana 7 5 0 2 11:8 15
2 Pitbulls 6 4 2 0 12:7 14
3 Aserri 7 4 2 1 8:4 14
4 Carmelita 8 2 3 3 15:11 9
5 Cariari Pococi 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
6 CS Uruguay 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
7 Guadalupe 8 1 2 5 8:15 5
8 FC Moravia 7 1 1 5 8:10 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)