Sport Picks
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay vs Pwllheli
Wales
FA Cup 2013/2014 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-0, with FC Nomads of Connahs Quay advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
11%
9%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- Pwllheli carry the better recent record into this one.
- FC Nomads of Connahs Quay are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Pwllheli arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor FC Nomads of Connahs Quay, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay Clean Sheet 11%
Pwllheli Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Nomads of Connahs Quay | Pwllheli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.57 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.86 | 2.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 12, 2013 FA Cup
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay vs Pwllheli
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay 74 / 100
Pwllheli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay Pwllheli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FCN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Pwllheli conceded in 80% of 15 recent games.
Attacking prowess: FC Nomads of Connahs Quay scored in 71% of their last 7 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Pwllheli lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay VS Pwllheli
1.57 Goals Scored 1.75
1.86 Goals Conceded 2.63
86% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
(Home) 04 Oct
Penrhyncoch
2 : 0 FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
03 Oct
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
1 : 3 Denbigh
29 Nov
Newtown
2 : 0 FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
08 Nov
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
5 : 2 Llangollen
04 Oct
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
1 : 0 Brynford
Page 1 of 2
03 Oct
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
1 : 3 Denbigh
08 Nov
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
5 : 2 Llangollen
04 Oct
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
1 : 0 Brynford
12 Oct
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
3 : 0 Pwllheli
Pwllheli
(Away) 11 Jul
Pwllheli
0 : 2 Llandudno FC
20 Sept
Pwllheli
1 : 3 Rhyl
22 Jun
Pwllheli
1 : 1 Bala
16 Sept
Pwllheli
1 : 2 Felinheli
20 Oct
Pwllheli
0 : 3 Porthmadog
Page 1 of 3
12 Oct
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
3 : 0 Pwllheli
09 Nov
Holyhead
5 : 2 Pwllheli
06 Oct
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 5 Pwllheli
03 Oct
Connahs Q.
2 : 0 Pwllheli
04 Oct
Llandudno Junction
0 : 2 Pwllheli
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Aberystwyth-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Guilsfield6
Machynlleth1
Gwalchmai2
Llanfair United3
Rhydymwyn2
Caerwys1
Pwllheli0
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Afan Lido-
Cambrian United4
Butetown FC0
Goytre AFC1
Pontardawe2
Goytre Utd3
Trefelin1
Newcastle Emlyn1
Chepstow Town2
Connahs Q.-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Nefyn United2
Penrhyndeudraeth FC1
Denbigh0
Caersws FC2
Porthmadog1
Mold Alexandra0
Llanrug1
Caernarfon4
Ton Pentre3
Fairfield United FC0
Llwydcoed1
Sully Sports3
Llanidloes Town3
Glan Conwy FC1
Llanrhaeadr1
Llandudno FC5
Treharris Athletic3
Llantwit Major2
AFC Porth1
Monmouth2
Newtown-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Haverfordwest3
West End2
Aberaeron1
Cardiff Metropolitan University4
Llandrindod3
Newport Civil Service0
Cardiff Hibernian0
Caerau Ely4
Penycae FC7
Brickfield Rangers4
Penrhyncoch0
Holywell Town FC3
TNS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Flint Town3
Llanberis FC1
Llanrwst United3
Conwy Borough4
Port Talbot-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Carmarthen Town-
Bangor City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rhyl-
Penybont1
Cwmbran Celtic0
Splott1
Caldicot2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Airbus UK Broughton FC-
Aberdare Town4
Treowen2
Aberbargoed Buds1
Briton Ferry3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Prestatyn-
Buckley2
Llangollen0
Chirk AAA FC0
Rhayader1
Tywyn Bryncrug3
Berriew FC2
Glantraeth FC2
Bodedern3
Cefn Druids3
Holyhead0
Coedpoeth2
Barmouth & Dyffryn United6
Undy5
Presteigne St. Andrews2
Taffs Well0
Barry Town1
Rhoose FC2
Garden Village1
Bridgend Street1
Tata Steel3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bala-
1/32-finals
Aberystwyth-
TBD-
Guilsfield1
Llanfair United2
Rhydymwyn4
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay1
TBD-
Afan Lido-
Cambrian United2
Pontardawe0
Goytre Utd0
Chepstow Town1
Connahs Q.-
TBD-
Nefyn United1
Caersws FC3
Porthmadog2
Caernarfon1
Ton Pentre0
Sully Sports1
Llanidloes Town2
Llandudno FC0
Treharris Athletic1
Monmouth7
Newtown-
TBD-
Haverfordwest1
Cardiff Metropolitan University6
Llandrindod4
Caerau Ely3
Penycae FC0
Holywell Town FC3
TNS-
TBD-
Flint Town2
Conwy Borough3
Port Talbot-
TBD-
TBD-
Carmarthen Town-
Bangor City-
TBD-
TBD-
Rhyl-
Penybont0
Caldicot3
TBD-
Airbus UK Broughton FC-
Aberdare Town3
Briton Ferry2
TBD-
Prestatyn-
Buckley1
Rhayader0
Tywyn Bryncrug1
Bodedern5
Cefn Druids3
Barmouth & Dyffryn United1
Undy3
Barry Town4
Rhoose FC1
Tata Steel0
TBD-
Bala-
1/16-finals
Aberystwyth4
Llanfair United2
Rhydymwyn0
Afan Lido2
Cambrian United3
Chepstow Town1
Connahs Q.1
Caersws FC2
Porthmadog2
Sully Sports1
Llanidloes Town1
Monmouth2
Newtown2
Cardiff Metropolitan University1
Llandrindod1
Holywell Town FC3
TNS2
Conwy Borough1
Port Talbot1
Carmarthen Town2
Bangor City2
Rhyl1
Penybont0
Airbus UK Broughton FC2
Aberdare Town4
Prestatyn2
Buckley0
Bodedern2
Cefn Druids5
Barry Town2
Rhoose FC1
Bala6
1/8-finals
Aberystwyth5
Afan Lido1
Cambrian United3
Caersws FC4
Porthmadog3
Monmouth2
Newtown2
Holywell Town FC3
TNS2
Carmarthen Town0
Bangor City0
Airbus UK Broughton FC2
Aberdare Town4
Bodedern1
Cefn Druids0
Bala5
Quarter-finals
Aberystwyth2
Caersws FC1
Porthmadog1
Holywell Town FC2
TNS2
Airbus UK Broughton FC0
Aberdare Town1
Bala2
Semi-finals
Aberystwyth3
Holywell Town FC1
TNS2
Bala1
Final
Aberystwyth2
TNS3