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FC Oryol vs Kvant Obninsk Prediction & H2H Stats

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Bugaenko I.
43' Event
Demidov A.
90' Event
Ushakov E.

AI Match Summary

FC Oryol in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Oryol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
FC Oryol
20%
Draws
20%
Kvant Obninsk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Oryol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Oryol lately — more wins on the board than Kvant Obninsk.
  • Win probability leans FC Oryol's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FC Oryol have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
FC Oryol Clean Sheet 20%
Kvant Obninsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Oryol Kvant Obninsk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 1
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 23
Goals Scored 1.14 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.72 2.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FC Oryol vs Kvant Obninsk
2:1
Apr 18, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Kvant Obninsk vs FC Oryol
1:5
Oct 11, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FC Oryol vs Kvant Obninsk
5:0
Jun 21, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Kvant Obninsk vs FC Oryol
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FC Oryol vs Kvant Obninsk
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Oryol Compare

Top Goalscorer Bugaenko I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ushakov E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Kvant Obninsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Demidov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Oryol 58 / 100
Kvant Obninsk 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Oryol Kvant Obninsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Oryol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kvant Obninsk has conceded goals in 100% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Kvant Obninsk's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

FC Oryol's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FC Oryol VS Kvant Obninsk
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Oryol

(Home)
03 Oct
FC Oryol
1 : 0
Strogino Moscow
26 Sept
SKA Khabarovsk 2
0 : 2
FC Oryol
17 Sept
FC Oryol
0 : 2
FK Shumbrat Saransk
12 Sept
Spartak Tambov
3 : 0
FC Oryol
05 Sept
Kursk
3 : 2
FC Oryol
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Kvant Obninsk

(Away)
03 Oct
Kvant Obninsk
2 : 2
FK Shumbrat Saransk
26 Sept
Spartak Tambov
4 : 0
Kvant Obninsk
21 Sept
Kvant Obninsk
1 : 1
Kursk
13 Sept
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1 : 0
Kvant Obninsk
05 Sept
Kvant Obninsk
1 : 3
Ryazan
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