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FC Oryol vs Kvant Obninsk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Oryol host Kvant Obninsk in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Kvant Obninsk have shipped 2.63 goals a game lately, while FC Oryol have conceded 2.5 and scored 1.25. Past meetings favor FC Oryol slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 1:5. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.69) point toward FC Oryol. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
FC Oryol
39%
Draws
31%
Kvant Obninsk
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Oryol lately — more wins on the board than Kvant Obninsk.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FC Oryol have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
FC Oryol Clean Sheet 13%
Kvant Obninsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Oryol Kvant Obninsk
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 2
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 23
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Kvant Obninsk vs FC Oryol
1:5
Oct 11, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FC Oryol vs Kvant Obninsk
5:0
Jun 21, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Kvant Obninsk vs FC Oryol
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FC Oryol vs Kvant Obninsk
4:0
Jul 1, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Kvant Obninsk vs FC Oryol
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Oryol 30 / 100
Kvant Obninsk 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Oryol Kvant Obninsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ORY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kvant Obninsk has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

FC Oryol's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Kvant Obninsk's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Oryol VS Kvant Obninsk
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Oryol

(Home)
25 Jul
FC Oryol
0 : 4
Saturn Ramenskoye
04 Jul
FC Oryol
0 : 2
M. Lipetsk
27 Jun
Penza
3 : 1
FC Oryol
20 Jun
FC Oryol
4 : 1
Arsenal Tula 2
13 Jun
Strogino Moscow
2 : 3
FC Oryol
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Kvant Obninsk

(Away)
25 Jul
Kvant Obninsk
2 : 2
M. Lipetsk
04 Jul
Kvant Obninsk
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula 2
27 Jun
Strogino Moscow
3 : 1
Kvant Obninsk
20 Jun
Kvant Obninsk
1 : 3
SKA Khabarovsk 2
13 Jun
FK Shumbrat Saransk
4 : 0
Kvant Obninsk
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