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FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Bukovyna

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2025/2026 Sport Complex Podillia, Khmelnytskyi
Our Tip

Match Events

54'
Lys N.
55' Event
Sakiv T.
58'
Sub
Kulish M. In: Bezruchuk O.
Out: Kulish M.

AI Match Summary

The Persha Liga 2025/2026 game between FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi and Bukovyna finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bukovyna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
30%
Draws
47%
Bukovyna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bukovyna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Bukovyna carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Bukovyna are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Bukovyna here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Clean Sheet 18%
Bukovyna Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Bukovyna
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 19
Draws 7 6
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 0.86 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Persha Liga
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Bukovyna
0:2
Oct 12, 2025 Persha Liga
Bukovyna vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
2:0
Oct 13, 2024 Persha Liga
Bukovyna vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1:1
Aug 25, 2024 Persha Liga
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Bukovyna
0:1
Feb 16, 2024 Club Friendly
Bukovyna vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Bukovyna Compare

Top Goalscorer Sakiv T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tyshchenko I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 10 / 100
Bukovyna 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Bukovyna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bukovyna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Bukovyna conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi VS Bukovyna
1.33 Goals Scored 0.88
1.83 Goals Conceded 1
83% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

(Home)
05 Sept
Dnister Zalishchyky
3 : 2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
29 Aug
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 : 1
Dinaz Vyshgorod
21 Aug
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 : 3
Victoria
08 Aug
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
2 : 1
Nyva Vinnytsya
01 Aug
Bratslav Vinnytsia
3 : 2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
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Bukovyna

(Away)
06 Sept
Epitsentr
0 : 0
Bukovyna
31 Aug
Bukovyna
3 : 0
Dynamo Kyiv
22 Aug
Nyva Ternopil
0 : 4
Bukovyna
15 Aug
Karpaty Lviv
3 : 0
Bukovyna
08 Aug
Bukovyna
0 : 0
Obolon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bukovyna 30 26 3 1 74:21 81
2 Ch. Odesa 30 19 8 3 44:20 65
3 Livyi Bereg 30 19 6 5 50:21 63
4 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 30 16 5 9 36:28 53
5 Inhulets 30 12 10 8 41:32 46
6 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 30 9 10 11 33:33 37
7 Metalist Kharkiv 30 10 7 13 31:35 37
8 Probiy Horodenka 30 10 6 14 29:37 36
9 Fenix Mariupol 30 9 9 12 31:32 36
10 Victoria 30 10 6 14 37:38 36
11 UCSA 30 10 6 14 30:40 36
12 Nyva Ternopil 30 8 10 12 24:34 34
13 FC Chernihiv 30 8 7 15 30:36 31
14 Vorskla Poltava 30 7 9 14 23:36 30
15 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 30 4 9 17 20:45 21
16 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 30 4 7 19 16:61 19
17 Minaj 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)