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FC Residence Walferdange vs Hostert

Luxembourg Luxembourg

BGL Ligue
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Macedo P.
Assist: Mendes D.
40' Event
Ballicalioglu V.
Assist: Tavares K.
44' Event
Ballicalioglu V.
Assist: Altun S.

AI Match Summary

The BGL Ligue game between FC Residence Walferdange and Hostert finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Residence Walferdange.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
FC Residence Walferdange
20%
Draws
38%
Hostert
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Residence Walferdange

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • FC Residence Walferdange carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular BGL Ligue form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
FC Residence Walferdange Clean Sheet 13%
Hostert Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Residence Walferdange Hostert
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 0 4
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.9 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 BGL Ligue
FC Residence Walferdange vs Hostert
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Residence Walferdange Compare

Top Goalscorer Macedo P.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Hostert Compare

Top Goalscorer Ballicalioglu V.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Residence Walferdange 30 / 100
Hostert 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Residence Walferdange Hostert

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Residence Walferdange Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Residence Walferdange scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Hostert conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: FC Residence Walferdange remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Residence Walferdange VS Hostert
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Residence Walferdange

(Home)
20 Sept
Grevenmacher
3 : 2
FC Residence Walferdange
16 Sept
FC Residence Walferdange
2 : 1
Mondorf
13 Sept
Hesperange
0 : 3
FC Residence Walferdange
06 Sept
FC Residence Walferdange
0 : 3
UNA Strassen
30 Aug
Ettelbruck
0 : 5
FC Residence Walferdange
Page 1 of 6

Hostert

(Away)
20 Sept
Alisontia Steinsel
1 : 2
Hostert
16 Sept
Hostert
1 : 1
Jeunesse Esch
12 Sept
Hostert
0 : 0
Dudelange
05 Sept
Victoria Rosport
0 : 2
Hostert
30 Aug
Hostert
0 : 2
Differdange
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UNA Strassen 8 8 0 0 17:2 24
2 Differdange 8 7 0 1 19:5 21
3 Mondorf 8 6 0 2 16:11 18
4 Racing Luxembourg 8 5 2 1 21:8 17
5 Progres Niedercorn 8 5 1 2 13:5 16
6 Kaerjeng 8 5 0 3 23:15 15
7 Bissen 8 5 0 3 18:11 15
8 FC Residence Walferdange 8 5 0 3 16:10 15
9 Hostert 8 3 2 3 14:11 11
10 Jeunesse Esch 8 2 1 5 14:17 7
11 Dudelange 8 2 1 5 8:15 7
12 Rumelange 8 2 0 6 8:23 6
13 Victoria Rosport 8 1 2 5 11:20 5
14 Ettelbruck 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
15 Wiltz 8 1 1 6 14:22 4
16 Hesperange 8 0 0 8 2:30 -12
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - BGL Ligue (Relegation)