Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Sancti Spiritus vs FC Santiago de Cuba

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2023 game between FC Sancti Spiritus and FC Santiago de Cuba finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Sancti Spiritus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
FC Sancti Spiritus
6%
Draws
90%
FC Santiago de Cuba
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Santiago de Cuba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Santiago de Cuba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FC Santiago de Cuba a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
FC Sancti Spiritus Clean Sheet 20%
FC Santiago de Cuba Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Sancti Spiritus FC Santiago de Cuba
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 3 14
Draws 5 9
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 0.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2024 Liga Nacional
FC Sancti Spiritus vs FC Santiago de Cuba
0:0
Mar 18, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Sancti Spiritus vs FC Santiago de Cuba
1:0
Apr 2, 2022 Liga Nacional
FC Santiago de Cuba vs FC Sancti Spiritus
6:0
Feb 12, 2022 Liga Nacional
FC Sancti Spiritus vs FC Santiago de Cuba
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Sancti Spiritus 10 / 100
FC Santiago de Cuba 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Sancti Spiritus FC Santiago de Cuba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Santiago de Cuba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: FC Sancti Spiritus scored in 19% of their last 27 outings.

Solid form: FC Sancti Spiritus remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Sancti Spiritus VS FC Santiago de Cuba
0.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Sancti Spiritus

(Home)
14 Jun
FC Camaguey
3 : 0
FC Sancti Spiritus
07 Jun
Las Tunas
4 : 0
FC Sancti Spiritus
24 May
FC Sancti Spiritus
0 : 0
FC Ciego de Avila
17 May
FC Sancti Spiritus
2 : 1
Las Tunas
03 May
FC Ciego de Avila
3 : 0
FC Sancti Spiritus
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FC Santiago de Cuba

(Away)
09 Jul
FC Ciego de Avila
1 : 2
FC Santiago de Cuba
05 Jul
FC Santiago de Cuba
1 : 1
FC Ciego de Avila
14 Jun
FC Santiago de Cuba
3 : 1
FC Holguin
24 May
FC Guantanamo
1 : 0
FC Santiago de Cuba
17 May
FC Santiago de Cuba
1 : 0
CF Granma
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos761014:219
2FC La Habana752011:217
3Matanzas740311:812
4Artemisa731315:810
5FC Villa Clara72146:117
6Isla de La Juventud72145:107
7Pinar del Rio71246:155
8Mayabeque Guines71064:163
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Clausura)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Santiago de Cuba742114:514
2FC Guantanamo742112:614
3FC Holguin74129:713
4FC Camaguey73319:412
5CF Granma73045:99
6FC Sancti Spiritus72142:67
7FC Ciego de Avila72145:107
8Las Tunas70253:122
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Clausura)