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FC Santiago vs Zacatepec

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
63' Event
84' Event

AI Match Summary

Zacatepec in this Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
FC Santiago
20%
Draws
46%
Zacatepec
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zacatepec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Zacatepec have won more games recently than FC Santiago.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on FC Santiago taking it.
  • Zacatepec arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Zacatepec, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
FC Santiago Clean Sheet 68%
Zacatepec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Santiago Zacatepec
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 14 15
Draws 8 12
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.7 1.27
Goals Conceded 1 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
FC Santiago vs Zacatepec
2:3
Apr 15, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Zacatepec vs FC Santiago
1:1
Jan 10, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
FC Santiago vs Zacatepec
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Zacatepec vs FC Santiago
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Santiago 50 / 100
Zacatepec 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Santiago Zacatepec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Santiago Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Santiago scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Zacatepec conceded in 55% of 33 recent games.

FC Santiago has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Santiago VS Zacatepec
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Santiago

(Home)
19 Sept
FC Santiago
4 : 1
Saltillo
11 Sept
Mineros de Fresnillo
2 : 0
FC Santiago
05 Sept
FC Santiago
3 : 0
Heroes de Zaci
30 Aug
Vaqueros
1 : 0
FC Santiago
19 Apr
FC Santiago
2 : 3
Zacatepec
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Zacatepec

(Away)
19 Sept
Zacatepec
1 : 0
Purepechas
11 Sept
Tritones Vallarta
1 : 1
Zacatepec
05 Sept
Zacatepec
2 : 1
Lobos ULMX
29 Aug
Tigres de Alica
3 : 1
Zacatepec
26 Apr
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1
Zacatepec
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Racing de Veracruz -
TBD -
Tigres de Alica 2
Halcones de Zapopan 3
Alacranes de Durango -
TBD -
FC Santiago 3
Zacatepec 4
Deportiva Venados 3
Calor De San Pedro 1
Tapachula 1
Tritones Vallarta 2
Apodaca -
TBD -
Tecos 0
Inter Playa Del Carmen 2
Quarter-finals
Racing de Veracruz 0
Halcones de Zapopan 2
Alacranes de Durango 3
Zacatepec 3
Deportiva Venados 2
Tritones Vallarta 1
Apodaca 3
Inter Playa Del Carmen 1
Semi-finals
Halcones de Zapopan 1
Alacranes de Durango 2
Deportiva Venados 5
Apodaca 3
Final
Alacranes de Durango 1
Deportiva Venados 2