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FC Santiago vs Zitacuaro Prediction & H2H Stats

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Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
FC Santiago Logo

FC Santiago

1 - 0
FT
Zitacuaro Logo

Zitacuaro

Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Morales M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 game between FC Santiago and Zitacuaro finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Santiago.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
FC Santiago
20%
Draws
36%
Zitacuaro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Santiago

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Santiago come out ahead of Zitacuaro on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans FC Santiago's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
FC Santiago Clean Sheet 68%
Zitacuaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Santiago Zitacuaro
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 7 11
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.61 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Zitacuaro vs FC Santiago
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
FC Santiago vs Zitacuaro
1:0
Mar 2, 2024 Liga Premier Serie B
Zitacuaro vs FC Santiago
0:0
Sep 30, 2023 Liga Premier Serie B
FC Santiago vs Zitacuaro
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Santiago Compare

Top Goalscorer Morales M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Zitacuaro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Santiago 77 / 100
Zitacuaro 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Santiago Zitacuaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Santiago Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Santiago scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Zitacuaro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.25 goals.

Solid form: FC Santiago remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Santiago VS Zitacuaro
2.5 Goals Scored 0.67
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 17%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Santiago

(Home)
25 Sept
Zapotlanejo
1 : 0
FC Santiago
19 Sept
FC Santiago
4 : 1
Saltillo Soccer F.C.
11 Sept
Mineros de Fresnillo
2 : 0
FC Santiago
05 Sept
FC Santiago
3 : 0
Heroes de Zaci
30 Aug
Vaqueros
1 : 0
FC Santiago
Page 1 of 6

Zitacuaro

(Away)
11 Apr
Zitacuaro
1 : 0
Halcones de Zapopan
06 Apr
Zitacuaro
1 : 1
FC Santiago
29 Mar
Lobos ULMX
1 : 0
Zitacuaro
24 Mar
Zitacuaro
1 : 2
Apodaca
14 Mar
Chilpancingo
1 : 1
Zitacuaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)