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FC Sevastopol vs Chernomorets Sevastopol

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea) 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Rybolovlev A.
11' Event
Suprun M.
38' Event
Kiva A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League (Crimea) 2023 game between FC Sevastopol and Chernomorets Sevastopol finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Sevastopol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FC Sevastopol
33%
Draws
27%
Chernomorets Sevastopol
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: FC Sevastopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Sevastopol come out ahead of Chernomorets Sevastopol on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on FC Sevastopol taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
FC Sevastopol Clean Sheet 20%
Chernomorets Sevastopol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Sevastopol Chernomorets Sevastopol
Matches Played 31 25
Wins 21 7
Draws 8 5
Losses 2 13
Goals Scored 2.5 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 3
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2023 Premier League (Crimea)
FC Sevastopol vs Chernomorets Sevastopol
5:1
May 6, 2023 Premier League (Crimea)
Chernomorets Sevastopol vs FC Sevastopol
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Sevastopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Rybolovlev A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Suprun M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Chernomorets Sevastopol Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Sevastopol 40 / 100
Chernomorets Sevastopol 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Sevastopol Chernomorets Sevastopol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Sevastopol found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Chernomorets Sevastopol has conceded goals in 72% of their last 25 outings.

FC Sevastopol has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Sevastopol VS Chernomorets Sevastopol
2.5 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%