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FC Tallinn vs Levadia U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Lasnamäe Sports Complex Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Tallinn play Levadia U21 in the Esiliiga. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Tallinn averaged 1.66 goals scored and 2.66 conceded. Levadia U21 averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. In past meetings, FC Tallinn won 2, Levadia U21 won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 21, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for FC Tallinn and 1.81 for Levadia U21. This points to a Levadia U21 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
FC Tallinn
15%
Draws
50%
Levadia U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levadia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • FC Tallinn picked up more points recently compared to Levadia U21.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
FC Tallinn Clean Sheet 11%
Levadia U21 Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Tallinn Levadia U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 6 3
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.66 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.66 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs FC Tallinn
4:0
Apr 27, 2026 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Levadia U21
4:2
Feb 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Levadia U21 vs FC Tallinn
3:2
Sep 18, 2025 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Levadia U21
2:3
Jul 26, 2025 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs FC Tallinn
5:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Tallinn Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekharts D.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Slobodjan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Levadia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lehtmets G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sambe M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Tallinn 34 / 100
Levadia U21 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Tallinn Levadia U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Levadia U21 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Tallinn attacking → ← attacking Levadia U21

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Tallinn scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Levadia U21 let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 6.20 goals.

FC Tallinn went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Levadia U21 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 42
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tartu JK Welco18133254:2342
2Viimsi JK1794428:1431
3Flora Tallinn U211693442:3130
4Elva1873831:3224
5Tallinna Kalev1864835:3622
6Levadia U2118701134:3321
7Maardu Linnameeskond1755723:3620
8Nomme Utd U211754834:4119
9Kalju U211753928:4218
10FC Tallinn1845925:4617