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FC Tbilisi II vs FC Gareji Sagarejo

Georgia Georgia

Pirveli Liga 2004/2005
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pirveli Liga 2004/2005 game between FC Tbilisi II and FC Gareji Sagarejo finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Tbilisi II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
FC Tbilisi II
40%
Draws
29%
FC Gareji Sagarejo
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Gareji Sagarejo come out ahead of FC Tbilisi II on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Pirveli Liga 2004/2005 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
FC Tbilisi II Clean Sheet 20%
FC Gareji Sagarejo Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Tbilisi II FC Gareji Sagarejo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 0.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2006 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs FC Tbilisi II
0:1
Sep 29, 2005 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Tbilisi II vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
0:1
Apr 27, 2005 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Tbilisi II vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
4:2
Oct 17, 2004 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs FC Tbilisi II
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Tbilisi II 32 / 100
FC Gareji Sagarejo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Tbilisi II FC Gareji Sagarejo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Gareji Sagarejo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

FC Tbilisi II has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

FC Tbilisi II found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS FC Gareji Sagarejo
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Tbilisi II

(Home)
10 May
Chiatura
1 : 0
FC Tbilisi II
07 May
FC Tbilisi II
6 : 2
Locomotive Tbilisi 2
03 May
Ameri Tbilisi II
0 : 1
FC Tbilisi II
27 Apr
FC Tbilisi II
1 : 3
Chikhura Sachkhere
21 Apr
Meshakhte Tkibuli
0 : 1
FC Tbilisi II
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FC Gareji Sagarejo

(Away)
25 Jul
Basa
0 : 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo
22 Jun
FC Gareji Sagarejo
1 : 2
Odishi 1919
17 Jun
FC Gareji Sagarejo
0 : 0
Shturmi
13 Jun
Gori
1 : 3
FC Gareji Sagarejo
30 May
FC Gareji Sagarejo
3 : 2
Samtredia
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