Sport Picks
FC Tulsa vs Las Vegas Lights
USA
USL Championship ONEOK Field, Tulsa, OK 
Match Events
32'
32'
Rodriguez J.
Assist: Ybarra M.
41'
41'
Elmedkhar K.
46'
46'
Sub
Pierre N. In: Cabral R.
Out: Pierre N.
AI Match Summary
The USL Championship game between FC Tulsa and Las Vegas Lights finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Tulsa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Tulsa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and FC Tulsa come out ahead of Las Vegas Lights on wins alone.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on FC Tulsa taking it.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
FC Tulsa Clean Sheet 68%
Las Vegas Lights Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Tulsa | Las Vegas Lights |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 31, 2026 USL Championship
Las Vegas Lights vs FC Tulsa
0:0
Mar 22, 2026 USL Championship
FC Tulsa vs Las Vegas Lights
3:2
Jul 13, 2025 USL Championship
FC Tulsa vs Las Vegas Lights
4:3
Apr 20, 2025 USL Championship
Las Vegas Lights vs FC Tulsa
1:4
Sep 12, 2024 USL Championship
FC Tulsa vs Las Vegas Lights
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Tulsa Compare
Top Goalscorer Elmedkhar K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cabral R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Las Vegas Lights Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Okyere A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Tulsa 86 / 100
Las Vegas Lights 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Tulsa Las Vegas Lights
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Tulsa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
FC Tulsa scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Las Vegas Lights's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Solid form: FC Tulsa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
FC Tulsa VS Las Vegas Lights
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
13% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Tulsa
(Home) 06 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 0 FC Tulsa
30 Aug
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 Rhode Island
23 Aug
Orange County SC
1 : 5 FC Tulsa
16 Aug
New Mexico
1 : 0 FC Tulsa
09 Aug
FC Tulsa
0 : 1 Detroit City
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30 Aug
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 Rhode Island
09 Aug
FC Tulsa
0 : 1 Detroit City
06 Aug
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 Sacramento Republic
26 Jul
FC Tulsa
0 : 0 Lexington
19 Jul
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 El Paso Locomotive
Page 1 of 3
Las Vegas Lights
(Away) 06 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 2 New Mexico
30 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 2 Charleston
22 Aug
Lexington
2 : 0 Las Vegas Lights
16 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
2 : 1 Brooklyn FC
08 Aug
Miami FC
0 : 1 Las Vegas Lights
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Lexington
2 : 0 Las Vegas Lights
08 Aug
Miami FC
0 : 1 Las Vegas Lights
25 Jul
Detroit City
0 : 1 Las Vegas Lights
19 Jul
San Antonio FC
1 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
12 Jul
Monterey Bay
2 : 3 Las Vegas Lights
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 40:20 | 48 |
| 2 | Charleston | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 47:29 | 39 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 28:18 | 37 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 25:23 | 34 |
| 5 | Louisville City | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 38:37 | 33 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 21:22 | 31 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 31:24 | 29 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26:26 | 29 |
| 9 | Miami FC | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 25:39 | 22 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 22 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 26:39 | 20 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 21 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 26:32 | 18 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22:38 | 16 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 30:60 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 39:29 | 40 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 31:21 | 40 |
| 3 | FC Tulsa | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 26:19 | 36 |
| 4 | Orange County SC | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 34:32 | 36 |
| 5 | San Antonio FC | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 28:26 | 36 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 38:36 | 34 |
| 7 | Sacramento Republic | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 29:20 | 33 |
| 8 | Lexington | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33:29 | 31 |
| 9 | Phoenix Rising | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 32:31 | 30 |
| 10 | Las Vegas Lights | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 29:34 | 29 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 28:31 | 27 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25:42 | 18 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
