Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Volgar-Astrakhan vs FC Chertanovo Moscow

Russia Russia

Russian Cup 2025/2026 Tsentralnyi Stadion, Astrakhan
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Khomyakov A.
38' Event
Lesnikov D.
66' Event
Zuev I.

AI Match Summary

FC Volgar-Astrakhan in this Russian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
40%
Draws
29%
FC Chertanovo Moscow
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: FC Chertanovo Moscow at 2 per game, FC Volgar-Astrakhan at 1.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Volgar-Astrakhan, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and FC Volgar-Astrakhan have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
FC Volgar-Astrakhan Clean Sheet 20%
FC Chertanovo Moscow Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Volgar-Astrakhan FC Chertanovo Moscow
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 10 9
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1 2
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2025 Russian Cup
FC Volgar-Astrakhan vs FC Chertanovo Moscow
2:1
Mar 10, 2021 FNL
FC Chertanovo Moscow vs FC Volgar-Astrakhan
1:1
Sep 13, 2020 FNL
FC Volgar-Astrakhan vs FC Chertanovo Moscow
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Volgar-Astrakhan Compare

Top Goalscorer Lesnikov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zuev I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FC Chertanovo Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Khomyakov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Volgar-Astrakhan 32 / 100
FC Chertanovo Moscow 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Volgar-Astrakhan FC Chertanovo Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Volgar-Astrakhan scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: FC Chertanovo Moscow conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: FC Volgar-Astrakhan stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Volgar-Astrakhan VS FC Chertanovo Moscow
1 Goals Scored 2
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Volgar-Astrakhan

(Home)
26 Jul
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
1 : 2
Mashuk
19 Jul
Kirov
0 : 0
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
13 Jun
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
1 : 1
Sibir Novosibirsk
07 Jun
Irtysh Omsk
1 : 2
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
31 May
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
2 : 0
Rodina Moscow 2
Page 1 of 6

FC Chertanovo Moscow

(Away)
26 Jul
FC Chertanovo Moscow
1 : 1
Zvezda St Peterburg
05 Jul
FC Irkutsk
1 : 1
FC Chertanovo Moscow
28 Jun
FC Chertanovo Moscow
1 : 1
Dynamo Vologda
21 Jun
Baltika 2
1 : 3
FC Chertanovo Moscow
14 Jun
FC Chertanovo Moscow
3 : 1
Yenisey 2
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
SKA Khabarovsk-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rodina Moscow-
Ulan Ude0
FC Irkutsk8
TBD-
Sibir Novosibirsk-
Anri Vladivostok0
KDV Tomsk4
TBD-
Dynamo Vladivostok-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chelyabinsk-
Kamaz-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
S. Kostroma-
Znamya Truda-
TBD-
TBD-
Dynamo Barnaul-
Irtysh Omsk-
TBD-
Temp Barnaul3
Uralets Nizhny Tagil2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye-
Dynamo Vologda-
TBD-
TBD-
Dynamo Petersburg-
Tekstilshtik-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Tver-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Fakel Voronezh-
Dynamo Stavropol-
TBD-
TBD-
Angust Nazran-
Kuban-
TBD-
FC PSK Dinskoy rayon2
Maykop1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ural-
Tyumen-
TBD-
Nosta2
Ilpar FC3
Torpedo Miass-
TBD-
TBD-
Volna Nizhegorodskaya-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Arsenal Tula-
Broke Boys3
FC Oryol2
TBD-
Kursk-
D. Bryansk-
TBD-
TBD-
Saturn Ramenskoye-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Saratov-
Astrakhan-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Pobeda-
Legion Makhachkala-
TBD-
TBD-
Alania Vladikavkaz-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chernomorets Novorossijsk-
Mashuk-
TBD-
TBD-
Spartak Nalchik-
Kuban Kholding-
TBD-
TBD-
Nart Cherkessk-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ulyanovsk-
Spartak Tambov-
TBD-
TBD-
M. Lipetsk-
FC Murom-
TBD-
FK Shumbrat Saransk1
Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Torpedo Moscow-
Kosmos-
TBD-
2Drots1
Vladimir0
Veles Moscow-
TBD-
Krasnoye Znamya3
FK Kolomna0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
R. Volgograd-
Kaluga-
TBD-
Amkal Moscow3
Kvant Obninsk1
Salyut-Belgorod-
TBD-
TBD-
Ryazan-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Yenisey-
Kirov-
TBD-
FK Fankom-
Sokol Kazan-
Khimik-
TBD-
TBD-
Amkar-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ufa-
Leningradets-
TBD-
Kristall1
Luki-Energiya3
RWChallenge1
Zvezda St Peterburg4
SSh Leningradets0
Cherepovets3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shinnik Yaroslavl-
Penza-
TBD-
TBD-
Strogino Moscow-
FC Volgar-Astrakhan-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Chertanovo Moscow-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Neftekhimik-
1/16-finals
SKA Khabarovsk-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rodina Moscow-
FC Irkutsk2
Sibir Novosibirsk0
KDV Tomsk3
Dynamo Vladivostok0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chelyabinsk-
Kamaz-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
S. Kostroma-
Znamya Truda2
Dynamo Barnaul1
Irtysh Omsk0
Temp Barnaul1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye-
Dynamo Vologda1
Dynamo Petersburg0
Tekstilshtik1
FK Tver0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Fakel Voronezh-
Dynamo Stavropol2
Angust Nazran1
Kuban1
FC PSK Dinskoy rayon2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ural-
Tyumen4
Ilpar FC1
Torpedo Miass0
Volna Nizhegorodskaya1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Arsenal Tula-
Broke Boys2
Kursk1
D. Bryansk0
Saturn Ramenskoye1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Saratov-
Astrakhan1
FK Pobeda0
Legion Makhachkala3
Alania Vladikavkaz2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chernomorets Novorossijsk-
Mashuk1
Spartak Nalchik0
Kuban Kholding1
Nart Cherkessk0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ulyanovsk-
Spartak Tambov2
M. Lipetsk1
FC Murom2
Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Torpedo Moscow-
Kosmos1
2Drots0
Veles Moscow2
Krasnoye Znamya0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
R. Volgograd-
Kaluga0
Amkal Moscow1
Salyut-Belgorod3
Ryazan0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Yenisey-
Kirov1
FK Fankom2
Khimik2
Amkar1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ufa-
Leningradets0
Luki-Energiya2
Zvezda St Peterburg1
Cherepovets2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shinnik Yaroslavl-
Penza1
Strogino Moscow0
FC Volgar-Astrakhan2
FC Chertanovo Moscow1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Neftekhimik-
1/8-finals
SKA Khabarovsk-
TBD-
TBD-
Rodina Moscow-
FC Irkutsk3
KDV Tomsk0
TBD-
Chelyabinsk-
Kamaz-
TBD-
TBD-
S. Kostroma-
Znamya Truda1
Temp Barnaul0
TBD-
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye-
Dynamo Vologda1
Tekstilshtik2
TBD-
Fakel Voronezh-
Dynamo Stavropol1
FC PSK Dinskoy rayon2
TBD-
Ural-
Tyumen1
Volna Nizhegorodskaya2
TBD-
Arsenal Tula-
Broke Boys2
Saturn Ramenskoye0
TBD-
Saratov-
Astrakhan5
Legion Makhachkala2
TBD-
Chernomorets Novorossijsk-
Mashuk0
Kuban Kholding3
TBD-
Ulyanovsk-
Spartak Tambov0
Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk1
TBD-
Torpedo Moscow-
Kosmos1
Veles Moscow4
TBD-
R. Volgograd-
Amkal Moscow2
Salyut-Belgorod1
TBD-
Yenisey-
FK Fankom1
Khimik0
TBD-
Ufa-
Luki-Energiya2
Cherepovets4
TBD-
Shinnik Yaroslavl-
Penza0
FC Volgar-Astrakhan1
TBD-
Neftekhimik-
Quarter-finals
SKA Khabarovsk0
Rodina Moscow3
FC Irkutsk2
Chelyabinsk3
Kamaz1
S. Kostroma0
Znamya Truda0
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye1
Tekstilshtik1
Fakel Voronezh2
FC PSK Dinskoy rayon1
Ural2
Volna Nizhegorodskaya0
Arsenal Tula3
Broke Boys0
Saratov2
Astrakhan0
Chernomorets Novorossijsk2
Kuban Kholding3
Ulyanovsk2
Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk1
Torpedo Moscow3
Veles Moscow2
R. Volgograd1
Amkal Moscow1
Yenisey2
FK Fankom0
Ufa3
Cherepovets1
Shinnik Yaroslavl4
FC Volgar-Astrakhan1
Neftekhimik2
Semi-finals
Rodina Moscow0
Chelyabinsk1
Kamaz3
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye1
Fakel Voronezh1
Ural0
Arsenal Tula1
Saratov0
Chernomorets Novorossijsk1
Kuban Kholding2
Torpedo Moscow3
Veles Moscow0
Yenisey1
Ufa2
Shinnik Yaroslavl1
Neftekhimik2
Final
Chelyabinsk0
Kamaz1
Fakel Voronezh2
Arsenal Tula3
Kuban Kholding1
Torpedo Moscow2
Ufa1
Neftekhimik2