Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fellbach vs Hollenbach

Germany Germany

Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Fossi P.
55' Event
Specht M.
90' Event
Specht M.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2024/2025 game between Fellbach and Hollenbach finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hollenbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Fellbach
15%
Draws
64%
Hollenbach
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hollenbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Hollenbach carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Fellbach Clean Sheet 13%
Hollenbach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fellbach Hollenbach
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 10
Draws 3 7
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 1 1.59
Goals Conceded 2.73 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2025 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Fellbach vs Hollenbach
1:2
Oct 3, 2024 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Hollenbach vs Fellbach
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fellbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Fossi P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Hollenbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Specht M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fellbach 30 / 100
Hollenbach 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fellbach Hollenbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fellbach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hollenbach let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Hollenbach's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Fellbach scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Hollenbach
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Fellbach

(Home)
20 Jan
Fellbach
3 : 3
Backnang
12 Jul
Fellbach
1 : 7
VfB Stuttgart
31 May
Fellbach
0 : 6
Reutlingen
24 May
Bietigheim-Bissingen
3 : 1
Fellbach
16 May
Fellbach
0 : 2
Leinfelden-Echterdingen
Page 1 of 6

Hollenbach

(Away)
25 Jul
Hollenbach
0 : 5
VfB Stuttgart
04 Jul
Hollenbach
0 : 4
Ansbach
30 May
Hollenbach
4 : 3
1. CfR Pforzheim
23 May
Turkspor Neckarsulm
2 : 0
Hollenbach
16 May
Hollenbach
1 : 2
FC 08 Villingen
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 34 31 2 1 109:26 95
2 Balingen 34 24 4 6 78:44 76
3 VfR Mannheim 34 20 7 7 71:41 67
4 Aalen 34 17 9 8 61:32 60
5 1. CfR Pforzheim 34 18 6 10 65:44 60
6 Oberachern 34 15 7 12 50:41 52
7 FC Nottingen 34 15 5 14 73:53 50
8 Backnang 34 14 8 12 60:49 50
9 Reutlingen 34 13 10 11 57:52 49
10 TSV Essingen 34 14 6 14 46:45 48
11 Hollenbach 34 14 6 14 54:60 48
12 FC Normannia Gmund 34 14 3 17 62:65 45
13 Bietigheim-Bissingen 34 12 7 15 54:63 43
14 Ravensburg 34 9 11 14 40:52 38
15 Fellbach 34 9 3 22 35:84 30
16 Zuzenhausen 34 8 3 23 42:87 27
17 Leinfelden-Echterdingen 34 5 3 26 38:83 18
18 FC 08 Villingen II 34 4 0 30 30:104 12
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025 (Promotion)