Sport Picks
Fenerbahce vs Besiktas
Turkey
Turkish Cup Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu, Istanbul 
Match Events
33'
33'
Cerny V.
Assist: Abraham T.
36'
36'
Aydin O.
39'
39'
Sahin D.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Besiktas advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fenerbahce
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Fenerbahce carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Fenerbahce's way, sitting at 90%.
- Fenerbahce have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Besiktas, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Fenerbahce Clean Sheet 20%
Besiktas Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 5 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.63 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.63 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 5, 2026 Super Lig
Fenerbahce vs Besiktas
1:0
Dec 23, 2025 Turkish Cup
Fenerbahce vs Besiktas
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 Super Lig
Besiktas vs Fenerbahce
2:3
May 4, 2025 Super Lig
Fenerbahce vs Besiktas
0:1
Dec 7, 2024 Super Lig
Besiktas vs Fenerbahce
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fenerbahce Compare
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31
Besiktas Compare
Top Goalscorer Cerny V.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fenerbahce 85 / 100
Besiktas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fenerbahce Besiktas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fenerbahce's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Solid form: Fenerbahce remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Besiktas has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Scoring Trends
Fenerbahce VS Besiktas
2.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Fenerbahce
(Home) 21 Jul
Fenerbahce
1 : 0 Gornik Zabrze
14 Jul
LASK Linz
1 : 2 Fenerbahce
11 Jul
Fenerbahce
4 : 0 Pogon Szczecin
08 Jul
Admira
0 : 5 Fenerbahce
17 May
Fenerbahce
3 : 3 Eyupspor
Page 1 of 6
21 Jul
Fenerbahce
1 : 0 Gornik Zabrze
11 Jul
Fenerbahce
4 : 0 Pogon Szczecin
17 May
Fenerbahce
3 : 3 Eyupspor
02 May
Fenerbahce
3 : 1 Basaksehir
17 Apr
Fenerbahce
2 : 2 Rizespor
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Besiktas
(Away) 23 Jul
Besiktas
1 : 0 Midtjylland
14 Jul
Spartak Trnava
3 : 2 Besiktas
14 Jul
Malzenice
1 : 1 Besiktas
10 Jul
Widzew Lodz
2 : 0 Besiktas
05 Jul
Mosonmagyarovari TE
0 : 0 Besiktas
Page 1 of 6
14 Jul
Spartak Trnava
3 : 2 Besiktas
14 Jul
Malzenice
1 : 1 Besiktas
10 Jul
Widzew Lodz
2 : 0 Besiktas
05 Jul
Mosonmagyarovari TE
0 : 0 Besiktas
15 May
Rizespor
2 : 2 Besiktas
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Alanyaspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Basaksehir | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 5 | F. Karagumruk | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 6 | Boluspor | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:6 | 2 |
| 7 | Istanbulspor AS | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:9 | 2 |
| 8 | Fethiyespor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:7 | 1 |
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Samsunspor | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Konyaspor | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 12 |
| 3 | Genclerbirligi | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | 10 |
| 4 | Igdir FK | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 |
| 5 | Eyupspor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 6 | Bodrumspor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 7 | Aliaga | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:16 | 1 |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:10 | 0 |
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Besiktas | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Erzurumspor FK | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 4 | Gaziantep | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 5 | Kocaelispor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 6 | Rizespor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | 4 |
| 7 | Beyoglu Yeni Carsi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:13 | 3 |
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
