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Stadium Background

Fernwald vs Pohlheim

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026 game between Fernwald and Pohlheim finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Fernwald
35%
Draws
41%
Pohlheim
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pohlheim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pohlheim come out ahead of Fernwald on wins alone.
  • Model gives Fernwald a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Fernwald Clean Sheet 16%
Pohlheim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fernwald Pohlheim
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 14
Draws 12 8
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.48 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Oberliga Hessen
Pohlheim vs Fernwald
1:1
Aug 12, 2026 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Pohlheim
1:1
Mar 28, 2026 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Pohlheim
0:0
Sep 14, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
Pohlheim vs Fernwald
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fernwald 36 / 100
Pohlheim 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fernwald Pohlheim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fernwald's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Pohlheim conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Fernwald stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fernwald VS Pohlheim
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fernwald

(Home)
19 Sept
Fernwald
0 : 0
Eddersheim
12 Sept
Giessen
4 : 3
Fernwald
09 Sept
Pohlheim
1 : 1
Fernwald
05 Sept
VfB Marburg
0 : 2
Fernwald
28 Aug
Fernwald
3 : 3
Hanauer SC
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Pohlheim

(Away)
12 Sept
Darmstadt U21
2 : 3
Pohlheim
09 Sept
Pohlheim
1 : 1
Fernwald
06 Sept
Pohlheim
2 : 3
Baunatal
29 Aug
Hadamar
0 : 2
Pohlheim
23 Aug
Pohlheim
2 : 1
CSC 03 Kassel
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eintracht Frankfurt II 34 29 3 2 100:34 90
2 Eddersheim 34 19 7 8 75:50 64
3 Stadtallendorf 34 16 11 7 57:40 59
4 Giessen 34 18 4 12 74:57 57
5 Baunatal 34 16 8 10 65:51 55
6 Pohlheim 34 15 9 10 74:62 54
7 Turk Gucu Friedberg 34 14 7 13 57:59 49
8 Hunfelder 34 15 3 16 68:64 48
9 Hanauer SC 34 14 5 15 49:66 47
10 RW Walldorf 34 13 8 13 90:76 47
11 Darmstadt U21 34 13 6 15 75:69 45
12 VfB Marburg 34 13 6 15 47:58 45
13 Fernwald 34 11 9 14 59:54 42
14 Hummetroth 34 13 5 16 64:64 41
15 CSC 03 Kassel 34 10 9 15 63:82 39
16 Waldgirmes 34 9 6 19 47:69 33
17 Weidenhausen 34 5 7 22 44:92 22
18 Hanau 34 3 7 24 32:93 15
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026 (Relegation)