Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fernwald vs Weidenhausen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026 game between Fernwald and Weidenhausen finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fernwald.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Fernwald
20%
Draws
22%
Weidenhausen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fernwald

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Fernwald carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Fernwald taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Fernwald Clean Sheet 10%
Weidenhausen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fernwald Weidenhausen
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 11 5
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 1.55 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.62 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Weidenhausen
2:1
Nov 15, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
Weidenhausen vs Fernwald
2:2
Mar 8, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Weidenhausen
1:1
Aug 24, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
Weidenhausen vs Fernwald
0:3
Apr 13, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
Weidenhausen vs Fernwald
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fernwald 83 / 100
Weidenhausen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fernwald Weidenhausen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fernwald Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fernwald scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Weidenhausen has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Fernwald stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fernwald VS Weidenhausen
0.88 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 4
100% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 80%
25% Over 3.5 80%

Recent Form & Match History

Fernwald

(Home)
09 Sept
Pohlheim
1 : 1
Fernwald
05 Sept
VfB Marburg
0 : 2
Fernwald
28 Aug
Fernwald
3 : 3
Hanauer SC
23 Aug
Kassel 2
1 : 2
Fernwald
15 Aug
Fernwald
1 : 3
Hunfelder
Page 1 of 6

Weidenhausen

(Away)
30 May
VfB Marburg
5 : 0
Weidenhausen
22 May
Weidenhausen
0 : 2
Baunatal
16 May
Weidenhausen
1 : 4
Stadtallendorf
10 May
CSC 03 Kassel
6 : 4
Weidenhausen
02 May
Weidenhausen
5 : 3
Waldgirmes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eintracht Frankfurt II 34 29 3 2 100:34 90
2 Eddersheim 34 19 7 8 75:50 64
3 Stadtallendorf 34 16 11 7 57:40 59
4 Giessen 34 18 4 12 74:57 57
5 Baunatal 34 16 8 10 65:51 55
6 Pohlheim 34 15 9 10 74:62 54
7 Turk Gucu Friedberg 34 14 7 13 57:59 49
8 Hunfelder 34 15 3 16 68:64 48
9 Hanauer SC 34 14 5 15 49:66 47
10 RW Walldorf 34 13 8 13 90:76 47
11 Darmstadt U21 34 13 6 15 75:69 45
12 VfB Marburg 34 13 6 15 47:58 45
13 Fernwald 34 11 9 14 59:54 42
14 Hummetroth 34 13 5 16 64:64 41
15 CSC 03 Kassel 34 10 9 15 63:82 39
16 Waldgirmes 34 9 6 19 47:69 33
17 Weidenhausen 34 5 7 22 44:92 22
18 Hanau 34 3 7 24 32:93 15
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026 (Relegation)