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Ferrandina vs Pompei Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2025/2026
Ferrandina Logo

Ferrandina

1 - 0
FT
Pompei Logo

Pompei

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Own Goal
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 game between Ferrandina and Pompei finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferrandina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Ferrandina
15%
Draws
64%
Pompei
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pompei

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ferrandina haven't matched Pompei's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Pompei a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Ferrandina Clean Sheet 13%
Pompei Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferrandina Pompei
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 8 4
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 0.67 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Ferrandina vs Pompei
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Pompei vs Ferrandina
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferrandina 10 / 100
Pompei 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferrandina Pompei

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pompei Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pompei's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Ferrandina found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Ferrandina remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ferrandina VS Pompei
0.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferrandina

(Home)
03 May
Heraclea
2 : 1
Ferrandina
26 Apr
Ferrandina
1 : 0
A.C.D. Nardo
19 Apr
SS Nola 1925
0 : 0
Ferrandina
12 Apr
Ferrandina
0 : 5
Gravina
02 Apr
Citta di Fasano
2 : 0
Ferrandina
Page 1 of 6

Pompei

(Away)
10 May
Sarnese
2 : 1
Pompei
03 May
Fidelis Andria
1 : 2
Pompei
26 Apr
Pompei
4 : 1
Virtus Francavilla
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3
Pompei
12 Apr
Pompei
2 : 1
Heraclea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barletta 34 20 10 4 54:20 70
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 8 8 47:30 62
3 Citta di Fasano 34 18 8 8 51:35 62
4 Paganese 34 17 7 10 36:32 58
5 A.C.D. Nardo 34 14 13 7 40:27 55
6 Gravina 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
7 Afragolese 34 13 10 11 45:46 49
8 Fidelis Andria 34 13 9 12 35:28 48
9 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 12 10 45:40 48
10 Real Normanna 34 10 13 11 27:26 43
11 Francavilla 34 11 10 13 39:38 43
12 Manfredonia 34 11 10 13 34:39 43
13 Sarnese 34 9 14 11 51:49 41
14 SS Nola 1925 34 11 8 15 42:50 41
15 Heraclea 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 Pompei 34 9 7 18 26:38 34
17 Ferrandina 34 7 9 18 21:43 30
18 Acerrana 34 3 5 26 20:74 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)