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Ferreira de Aves vs Santa Cruz Alvarenga

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2021/2022 game between Ferreira de Aves and Santa Cruz Alvarenga finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferreira de Aves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Ferreira de Aves
17%
Draws
13%
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Ferreira de Aves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Ferreira de Aves carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ferreira de Aves's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Ferreira de Aves Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Cruz Alvarenga Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferreira de Aves Santa Cruz Alvarenga
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 7 6
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 2 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Ferreira de Aves vs Santa Cruz Alvarenga
1:0
Oct 3, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Santa Cruz Alvarenga vs Ferreira de Aves
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferreira de Aves 77 / 100
Santa Cruz Alvarenga 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferreira de Aves Santa Cruz Alvarenga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Santa Cruz Alvarenga conceded in 81% of 26 recent games.

Away concern: Santa Cruz Alvarenga has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Ferreira de Aves has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ferreira de Aves VS Santa Cruz Alvarenga
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SC Salgueiros18134129:1443
2Leca18123336:1539
3Gondomar18103534:1933
4Castro Daire1895425:1532
5SC Espinho1885524:1329
6Santa Cruz Alvarenga1855813:1620
7Valadares Gaia FC1855822:2020
8Uniao de Coimbra18441017:2916
9Ferreira de Aves1833126:3512
10CD Gouveia1813148:386