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Ferriolense vs Santa Catalina Atletico

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Ferriolense host Santa Catalina Atletico in the Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Ferriolense have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against Santa Catalina Atletico's 1.25 scored and 2.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Ferriolense have won 3 to Santa Catalina Atletico's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 19, 2021, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.50, favoring Ferriolense. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ferriolense
33%
Draws
27%
Santa Catalina Atletico
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Ferriolense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Ferriolense demonstrates higher offensive output (1.5 avg goals) than Santa Catalina Atletico (1.25 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Ferriolense.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Ferriolense Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Catalina Atletico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferriolense Santa Catalina Atletico
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 5 7
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santa Catalina Atletico vs Ferriolense
4:1
May 15, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Santa Catalina Atletico
4:1
Jan 25, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Santa Catalina Atletico
2:0
Aug 31, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santa Catalina Atletico vs Ferriolense
0:3
Apr 27, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Santa Catalina Atletico
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferriolense 50 / 100
Santa Catalina Atletico 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferriolense Santa Catalina Atletico

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferriolense scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Santa Catalina Atletico let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Ferriolense went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Santa Catalina Atletico lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferriolense VS Santa Catalina Atletico
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%