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Ferriolense vs Santa Catalina Atletico Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 game between Ferriolense and Santa Catalina Atletico finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferriolense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ferriolense
15%
Draws
49%
Santa Catalina Atletico
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santa Catalina Atletico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Santa Catalina Atletico have managed 0.9 goals a game lately — Ferriolense are scoring more at 0.97.
  • Model gives Ferriolense a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Ferriolense Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Catalina Atletico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferriolense Santa Catalina Atletico
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 5 7
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 0.97 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santa Catalina Atletico vs Ferriolense
4:1
May 15, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Santa Catalina Atletico
4:1
Jan 25, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Santa Catalina Atletico
2:0
Aug 31, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santa Catalina Atletico vs Ferriolense
0:3
Apr 27, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Santa Catalina Atletico
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferriolense 50 / 100
Santa Catalina Atletico 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferriolense Santa Catalina Atletico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferriolense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Santa Catalina Atletico conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Santa Catalina Atletico's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Ferriolense found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Ferriolense VS Santa Catalina Atletico
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferriolense

(Home)
19 Jun
Santa Catalina Atletico
4 : 1
Ferriolense
12 Jun
Ferriolense
0 : 1
Binissalem
05 Jun
Esporles
0 : 4
Ferriolense
29 May
Ferriolense
0 : 4
Llosetense
22 May
Alcudia
2 : 1
Ferriolense
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Santa Catalina Atletico

(Away)
19 Jun
Santa Catalina Atletico
4 : 1
Ferriolense
12 Jun
Genova
2 : 1
Santa Catalina Atletico
05 Jun
Santa Catalina Atletico
1 : 1
Soller
30 May
Cardassar
4 : 2
Santa Catalina Atletico
23 May
Santa Catalina Atletico
1 : 2
Felanitx
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