Sport Picks
Ferro Carril vs Club Oriental De Futbol
Uruguay
Copa Uruguay 2024 
Match Events
15'
15'
Vera J.
40'
40'
Lescano D.
(Penalty)
63'
63'
Nunez B.
AI Match Summary
Ferro Carril in this Copa Uruguay 2024 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Club Oriental De Futbol lately — more wins on the board than Ferro Carril.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Club Oriental De Futbol arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Ferro Carril, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Ferro Carril Clean Sheet 20%
Club Oriental De Futbol Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferro Carril | Club Oriental De Futbol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 6 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 11 |
| Draws | 0 | 10 |
| Losses | 2 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 9, 2024 Copa Uruguay
Ferro Carril vs Club Oriental De Futbol
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ferro Carril Compare
Top Goalscorer Vera J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
Club Oriental De Futbol Compare
Top Goalscorer Nunez B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ferro Carril 36 / 100
Club Oriental De Futbol 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ferro Carril Club Oriental De Futbol
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ORI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ferro Carril scored in 67% of their last 6 outings.
Club Oriental De Futbol let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Ferro Carril stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Club Oriental De Futbol
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ferro Carril
(Home) 31 Oct
Defensor Sp.
6 : 0 Ferro Carril
22 Oct
Ferro Carril
2 : 1 Melo Wanderers
09 Oct
Ferro Carril
2 : 1 Club Oriental De Futbol
07 Nov
Ferro Carril
0 : 1 CA Cerro
11 Oct
Ferro Carril
1 : 0 Bella Vista
Page 1 of 2
22 Oct
Ferro Carril
2 : 1 Melo Wanderers
09 Oct
Ferro Carril
2 : 1 Club Oriental De Futbol
07 Nov
Ferro Carril
0 : 1 CA Cerro
11 Oct
Ferro Carril
1 : 0 Bella Vista
Club Oriental De Futbol
(Away) 18 Jul
Club Oriental De Futbol
1 : 0 Huracan FC
12 Jul
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 1 Club Oriental De Futbol
04 Jul
Club Oriental De Futbol
1 : 2 River Plate Montevideo
28 Jun
Club Oriental De Futbol
1 : 1 Colon
20 Jun
Fenix
2 : 2 Club Oriental De Futbol
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 1 Club Oriental De Futbol
20 Jun
Fenix
2 : 2 Club Oriental De Futbol
08 Jun
Miramar
2 : 2 Club Oriental De Futbol
22 May
Plaza Colonia
3 : 1 Club Oriental De Futbol
02 May
Fenix
1 : 0 Club Oriental De Futbol
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Frontera Rivera1
Club Nacional5
Durazno2
Uruguay Montevideo FC1
Litoral Paysandu1
Plaza Colonia3
Piriapolis-
Penarol-
Paso de la Arena0
Montevideo City2
Rio Negro SJ-
Danubio-
18 de Julio FB-
CA Cerro-
Rincon-
Progreso-
Deportivo Colonia1
Juventud2
San Carlos0
Albion2
Villa Espanola-
Wanderers-
Atletico Juanico0
Boston River2
Paysandu Bella Vista0
Defensor Sp.3
Bristol1
Racing Montevideo2
Ferro Carril2
Club Oriental De Futbol1
Melo Wanderers-
Cerro Largo-
1/8-finals
Club Nacional4
Durazno0
Plaza Colonia1
Piriapolis0
Montevideo City5
Rio Negro SJ1
18 de Julio FB3
Rincon2
Juventud0
Albion2
Villa Espanola0
Boston River2
Defensor Sp.1
Racing Montevideo0
Ferro Carril2
Melo Wanderers1
Quarter-finals
Club Nacional4
Plaza Colonia0
Montevideo City4
18 de Julio FB0
Albion0
Boston River2
Defensor Sp.6
Ferro Carril0
Semi-finals
Club Nacional4
Montevideo City0
Boston River0
Defensor Sp.1
Final
Club Nacional2
Defensor Sp.3
