Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ferro vs Los Andes

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Rodriguez F.
Assist: Grance I.
46'
Taron M.
48' Event
Ortiz S.

AI Match Summary

Los Andes in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Los Andes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Ferro
15%
Draws
26%
Los Andes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ferro lately — more wins on the board than Los Andes.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Ferro Clean Sheet 68%
Los Andes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferro Los Andes
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs Los Andes
0:2
Sep 28, 2025 Primera Nacional
Los Andes vs Ferro
0:1
May 24, 2025 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs Los Andes
2:0
Sep 30, 2018 Primera Nacional
Los Andes vs Ferro
1:1
Mar 31, 2018 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs Los Andes
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Los Andes Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ortiz S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferro 42 / 100
Los Andes 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferro Los Andes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferro's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ferro remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Los Andes registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferro VS Los Andes
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferro

(Home)
01 Aug
Ferro
1 : 3
Godoy Cruz
26 Jul
Deportivo Moron
4 : 0
Ferro
17 Jul
Ferro
2 : 0
Colon Santa Fe
11 Jul
San Miguel
0 : 1
Ferro
05 Jul
Ferro
2 : 1
San Telmo
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Los Andes

(Away)
02 Aug
Central Norte
1 : 0
Los Andes
26 Jul
Los Andes
0 : 0
Deportivo Madryn
11 Jul
Los Andes
3 : 1
Ciudad Bolivar
04 Jul
Almirante Brown
1 : 0
Los Andes
21 Jun
Deportivo Madryn
2 : 1
Los Andes
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 23 13 4 6 26:21 43
2 Deportivo Moron 22 11 5 6 33:21 38
3 Colon Santa Fe 23 9 9 5 28:19 36
4 Almirante Brown 23 9 8 6 17:13 35
5 Godoy Cruz 22 9 7 6 25:19 34
6 Ciudad Bolivar 23 8 10 5 21:19 34
7 Los Andes 22 8 9 5 19:9 33
8 Deportivo Madryn 22 8 9 5 29:22 33
9 CA Estudiantes 23 8 8 7 20:19 32
10 Racing Cordoba 23 7 6 10 22:28 27
11 San Miguel 22 5 11 6 17:22 26
12 Defensores de Belgrano 22 5 10 7 15:19 25
13 CA Mitre 23 5 10 8 22:27 25
14 San Telmo 22 5 8 9 18:23 23
15 All Boys 23 4 11 8 13:22 23
16 Chaco For Ever 22 5 7 10 20:26 22
17 Central Norte 22 5 7 10 14:23 22
18 Acassuso 22 5 6 11 16:24 21
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnasia Jujuy 23 12 5 6 35:27 41
2 Tristan Suarez 22 10 9 3 21:12 39
3 Temperley 23 9 10 4 24:20 37
4 Atletico Atlanta 22 11 3 8 28:22 36
5 Midland 22 9 7 6 23:16 34
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 23 9 7 7 24:22 34
7 Deportivo Maipu 23 9 5 9 31:24 32
8 Atl. Rafaela 23 8 7 8 17:19 31
9 San Martin T. 23 7 9 7 21:19 30
10 Colegiales 22 8 5 9 21:21 29
11 Nueva Chicago 22 7 8 7 20:20 29
12 Almagro 23 8 5 10 20:26 29
13 Quilmes 23 7 7 9 23:20 28
14 San Martin S.J. 21 7 6 8 22:22 27
15 Chacarita Juniors 22 7 5 10 18:23 26
16 Patronato 22 4 11 7 16:21 23
17 Agropecuario 23 5 8 10 18:28 23
18 Club Atletico Guemes 22 5 4 13 20:39 19
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)