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Ferroviaria W vs Botafogo RJ W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Arena Fonte Luminosa, Araraquara
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Andressa Pereira
41'
Natane
52'
Tauane Zoio

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro Women game between Ferroviaria W and Botafogo RJ W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferroviaria W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ferroviaria W
6%
Draws
4%
Botafogo RJ W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ferroviaria W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ferroviaria W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ferroviaria W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Brasileiro Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Ferroviaria W have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ferroviaria W Clean Sheet 20%
Botafogo RJ W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviaria W Botafogo RJ W
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 15 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 2.75 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Ferroviaria W vs Botafogo RJ W
2:1
Mar 15, 2024 Brasileiro Women
Ferroviaria W vs Botafogo RJ W
1:1
May 30, 2021 Brasileiro Women
Ferroviaria W vs Botafogo RJ W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferroviaria W Compare

Top Goalscorer Maressa
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Botafogo RJ W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rita Bova
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviaria W 85 / 100
Botafogo RJ W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviaria W Botafogo RJ W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ferroviaria W scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Botafogo RJ W has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Ferroviaria W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviaria W VS Botafogo RJ W
2.75 Goals Scored 0.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviaria W

(Home)
20 Jul
Ferroviaria W
1 : 0
Corinthians W
17 Jul
Corinthians W
1 : 0
Ferroviaria W
28 May
Ferroviaria W
8 : 0
UD Alagoana W
24 May
Atletico-MG W
2 : 3
Ferroviaria W
21 May
Ferroviaria W
2 : 1
Palmeiras W
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Botafogo RJ W

(Away)
22 Jul
Botafogo RJ W
0 : 2
Bragantino W
17 Jul
Vitoria W
2 : 0
Botafogo RJ W
27 May
Botafogo RJ W
3 : 0
EC Juventude W
24 May
Botafogo RJ W
0 : 3
America Mineiro W
19 May
Palmeiras W
3 : 0
Botafogo RJ W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Paulo W1392221:929
2Corinthians W1291231:1328
3Palmeiras W1384127:1028
4Internacional W1372414:1023
5CR Flamengo W1365221:1523
6Ferroviaria W1264219:1222
7Bahia W1263322:1621
8Cruzeiro W1356224:1621
9Bragantino W1362521:2020
10Gremio W1353519:1418
11Santos W1345413:1517
12Fluminense W1344514:1516
13Atletico-MG W1333714:1812
14EC Juventude W122377:129
15Mixto W131578:248
16Vitoria W121389:286
17America Mineiro W131396:266
18Botafogo RJ W121297:245
Promotion - Brasileiro Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A2 Women 2027 (Main)