Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ferroviaria W vs Palmeiras W

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women 2025 Arena Fonte Luminosa, Araraquara
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Landazury G.
46'
Sub
Guzman A. In: Rhayanna
Out: Guzman A.
46'
Sub
Landazury G. In: Soll
Out: Landazury G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Palmeiras W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ferroviaria W
33%
Draws
27%
Palmeiras W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Ferroviaria W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Palmeiras W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ferroviaria W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Palmeiras W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Palmeiras W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Ferroviaria W Clean Sheet 20%
Palmeiras W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviaria W Palmeiras W
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 17 21
Draws 7 7
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 2.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Paulista Women
Ferroviaria W vs Palmeiras W
2:1
Dec 4, 2025 Paulista Women
Palmeiras W vs Ferroviaria W
1:1
Nov 23, 2025 Paulista Women
Ferroviaria W vs Palmeiras W
0:2
Nov 20, 2025 Copa do Brasil Women
Ferroviaria W vs Palmeiras W
2:4
Sep 22, 2025 Paulista Women
Ferroviaria W vs Palmeiras W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferroviaria W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Palmeiras W Compare

Top Goalscorer Amanda Gutierres
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pati Maldaner
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviaria W 40 / 100
Palmeiras W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviaria W Palmeiras W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviaria W's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Ferroviaria W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Palmeiras W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviaria W VS Palmeiras W
2.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviaria W

(Home)
20 Jul
Ferroviaria W
1 : 0
Corinthians W
17 Jul
Corinthians W
1 : 0
Ferroviaria W
28 May
Ferroviaria W
8 : 0
UD Alagoana W
24 May
Atletico-MG W
2 : 3
Ferroviaria W
21 May
Ferroviaria W
2 : 1
Palmeiras W
Page 1 of 6

Palmeiras W

(Away)
25 Jul
Mixto W
0 : 0
Palmeiras W
18 Jul
Palmeiras W
1 : 0
Sao Paulo W
12 Jul
CR Flamengo W
1 : 3
Palmeiras W
09 Jul
Palmeiras W
3 : 0
Paraguay W
30 May
Palmeiras W
0 : 1
Corinthians W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Corinthians W4
Sao Paulo W2
Palmeiras W3
Ferroviaria W1
Final
Corinthians W2
Palmeiras W5