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Ferroviario Beira vs Desportivo Maputo

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ferroviario Beira in this Mocambola 2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferroviario Beira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ferroviario Beira
6%
Draws
4%
Desportivo Maputo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ferroviario Beira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ferroviario Beira lately — more wins on the board than Desportivo Maputo.
  • Model gives Ferroviario Beira a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ferroviario Beira have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Ferroviario Beira Clean Sheet 20%
Desportivo Maputo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario Beira Desportivo Maputo
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 16 5
Draws 15 9
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 0.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2021 Mocambola
Desportivo Maputo vs Ferroviario Beira
0:0
Jun 20, 2021 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Desportivo Maputo
1:0
Aug 26, 2019 Mocambola
Desportivo Maputo vs Ferroviario Beira
1:2
May 8, 2019 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Desportivo Maputo
1:0
Jul 26, 2016 Mocambola
Desportivo Maputo vs Ferroviario Beira
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Beira 85 / 100
Desportivo Maputo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario Beira Desportivo Maputo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario Beira went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Desportivo Maputo has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Difficult form: Desportivo Maputo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario Beira VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviario Beira

(Home)
03 Jul
Ferroviario Beira
2 : 0
Ferroviario Nacala
28 Jun
Ferroviario Beira
2 : 2
Ferroviario Nampula
21 Jun
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 1
Ferroviario Beira
17 Jun
Associacao Black Bulls
0 : 0
Ferroviario Beira
21 May
Ferroviario Beira
0 : 0
Maxaquene
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Desportivo Maputo

(Away)
07 Nov
ENH Vilankulo
2 : 1
Desportivo Maputo
30 Oct
Desportivo Maputo
1 : 1
Ferroviario Nampula
23 Oct
Incomati Xinavane
1 : 0
Desportivo Maputo
16 Oct
Desportivo Maputo
0 : 0
Ferroviario Beira
03 Oct
Ferroviario Lichinga
3 : 0
Desportivo Maputo
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