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Ferroviario Beira vs Incomati Xinavane

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola 2022 game between Ferroviario Beira and Incomati Xinavane finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ferroviario Beira
35%
Draws
28%
Incomati Xinavane
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ferroviario Beira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Incomati Xinavane haven't matched Ferroviario Beira's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ferroviario Beira a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Ferroviario Beira Clean Sheet 20%
Incomati Xinavane Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario Beira Incomati Xinavane
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 11 12
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.1 0.57
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 4, 2022 Mocambola
Incomati Xinavane vs Ferroviario Beira
0:0
Sep 21, 2022 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Incomati Xinavane
1:1
Aug 22, 2021 Mocambola
Incomati Xinavane vs Ferroviario Beira
0:1
Feb 7, 2021 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Incomati Xinavane
3:0
Aug 17, 2019 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Incomati Xinavane
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Beira 67 / 100
Incomati Xinavane 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario Beira Incomati Xinavane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferroviario Beira Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ferroviario Beira scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Ferroviario Beira has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Incomati Xinavane conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario Beira VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.13 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviario Beira

(Home)
16 Sept
Ferroviario Beira
0 : 2
Associacao Black Bulls
03 Sept
Maxaquene
1 : 2
Ferroviario Beira
30 Aug
Costa do Sol
1 : 2
Ferroviario Beira
23 Aug
Chingale de Tete
1 : 1
Ferroviario Beira
20 Aug
UD Songo
0 : 0
Ferroviario Beira
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Incomati Xinavane

(Away)
04 Dec
Incomati Xinavane
0 : 0
Ferroviario Beira
27 Nov
UD Songo
0 : 0
Incomati Xinavane
20 Nov
Incomati Xinavane
1 : 0
Costa do Sol
13 Nov
Matchedje Mocuba
3 : 1
Incomati Xinavane
06 Nov
Incomati Xinavane
1 : 1
Ferroviario Nampula
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