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Ferroviario Lichinga vs Liga Desportivo Maputo

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola 2022 game between Ferroviario Lichinga and Liga Desportivo Maputo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferroviario Lichinga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ferroviario Lichinga
30%
Draws
34%
Liga Desportivo Maputo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferroviario Lichinga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ferroviario Lichinga come out ahead of Liga Desportivo Maputo on wins alone.
  • Ferroviario Lichinga are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Mocambola 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ferroviario Lichinga have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Ferroviario Lichinga Clean Sheet 18%
Liga Desportivo Maputo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario Lichinga Liga Desportivo Maputo
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 6 10
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 2 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 21, 2022 Mocambola
Liga Desportivo Maputo vs Ferroviario Lichinga
2:1
Aug 21, 2022 Mocambola
Ferroviario Lichinga vs Liga Desportivo Maputo
1:0
Aug 7, 2021 Mocambola
Ferroviario Lichinga vs Liga Desportivo Maputo
1:0
Jan 17, 2021 Mocambola
Liga Desportivo Maputo vs Ferroviario Lichinga
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Lichinga 36 / 100
Liga Desportivo Maputo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario Lichinga Liga Desportivo Maputo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario Lichinga found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Liga Desportivo Maputo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Ferroviario Lichinga went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario Lichinga VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviario Lichinga

(Home)
27 Jul
Ferroviario Maputo
2 : 0
Ferroviario Lichinga
24 Jul
Associacao Black Bulls
1 : 0
Ferroviario Lichinga
29 Jun
Ferroviario Lichinga
2 : 1
Maxaquene
26 Jun
Ferroviario Lichinga
2 : 1
Costa do Sol
20 Jun
Ferroviario Nacala
0 : 0
Ferroviario Lichinga
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Liga Desportivo Maputo

(Away)
03 Dec
Liga Desportivo Maputo
0 : 3
Ferroviario Nampula
26 Nov
Ferroviario Nacala
1 : 0
Liga Desportivo Maputo
21 Nov
Liga Desportivo Maputo
2 : 1
Ferroviario Lichinga
13 Nov
Liga Desportivo Maputo
4 : 0
ENH Vilankulo
06 Nov
Associacao Black Bulls
2 : 0
Liga Desportivo Maputo
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