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Ferroviario U20 vs Itapipoca U20

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Paulo Ricardo
25'
Michel Picos
25'
Michel Picos

AI Match Summary

The Cearense U20 2025 game between Ferroviario U20 and Itapipoca U20 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferroviario U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Ferroviario U20
15%
Draws
8%
Itapipoca U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferroviario U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Ferroviario U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ferroviario U20's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Ferroviario U20 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Ferroviario U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Itapipoca U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario U20 Itapipoca U20
Matches Played 31 16
Wins 12 5
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.19 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2025 Cearense U20
Ferroviario U20 vs Itapipoca U20
2:0
Jul 12, 2024 Cearense U20
Itapipoca U20 vs Ferroviario U20
2:1
Jun 26, 2024 Cearense U20
Ferroviario U20 vs Itapipoca U20
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferroviario U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Paulo Ricardo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Farias K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Itapipoca U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario U20 68 / 100
Itapipoca U20 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario U20 Itapipoca U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferroviario U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Ferroviario U20 found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Itapipoca U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 16 matches.

Recent resilience: Ferroviario U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario U20 VS Itapipoca U20
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviario U20

(Home)
10 Sept
Ferroviario U20
1 : 0
EC de Patos U20
01 Aug
Fortaleza U20
3 : 0
Ferroviario U20
25 Jul
Ferroviario U20
0 : 1
Fortaleza U20
18 Jul
Horizonte U20
0 : 1
Ferroviario U20
20 Jun
Ferroviario U20
1 : 0
Anjos do Ceu U20
Page 1 of 7

Itapipoca U20

(Away)
06 Sept
Itapipoca U20
0 : 2
Caucaia U20
22 Aug
Itapipoca U20
0 : 3
Floresta EC U20
09 Aug
Ferroviario U20
2 : 0
Itapipoca U20
25 Jul
Itapipoca U20
1 : 2
Ceara U20
29 Jun
Itapipoca U20
0 : 0
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceara U20 8 6 1 1 27:6 19
2 Floresta EC U20 8 5 1 2 16:2 16
3 Caucaia U20 8 4 1 3 10:10 13
4 Ferroviario U20 7 3 3 1 13:5 12
5 Horizonte U20 8 3 2 3 11:9 11
6 Anjos do Ceu U20 8 3 0 5 9:24 9
7 Alianca Futebol Clube U20 8 2 1 5 9:19 7
Promotion - Cearense U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortaleza U20 7 6 1 0 21:2 19
2 Quixada U20 7 4 1 2 8:9 13
3 Tirol U20 7 3 3 1 11:5 12
4 Atletico Cearense U20 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
5 Pacatuba U20 7 3 0 4 11:14 9
6 Itapipoca U20 7 1 2 4 6:10 5
7 Itarema U20 7 0 0 7 5:28 0
8 Esporte Limoeiro U20 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Promotion - Cearense U20 2025 (Play Offs)