Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fezzanese vs Sangiovannese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Rotondo N.
55' Event
Nannini D.
58' Event
Cantatore F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Fezzanese
35%
Draws
13%
Sangiovannese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fezzanese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Fezzanese average 1.17 goals a game right now, well clear of Sangiovannese's 1.
  • Model gives Fezzanese a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Fezzanese Clean Sheet 68%
Sangiovannese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fezzanese Sangiovannese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 8 9
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Fezzanese vs Sangiovannese
2:2
Oct 13, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs Fezzanese
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fezzanese Compare

Top Goalscorer Cantatore F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lunghi G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Sangiovannese Compare

Top Goalscorer Rotondo N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nannini D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fezzanese 95 / 100
Sangiovannese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fezzanese Sangiovannese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fezzanese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fezzanese found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Sangiovannese conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Fezzanese went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fezzanese VS Sangiovannese
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fezzanese

(Home)
21 Sept
Fezzanese
0 : 2
Gozzano
16 Sept
Sestri Levante
0 : 3
Fezzanese
13 Sept
Fezzanese
2 : 0
Chisola
06 Sept
Bra
1 : 1
Fezzanese
04 May
Fezzanese
3 : 3
Ghiviborgo
Page 1 of 6

Sangiovannese

(Away)
26 Aug
Sangiovannese
3 : 3
Scandicci
09 Aug
Sangiovannese
0 : 1
San Donato Tavarnelle
04 May
Sangiovannese
0 : 1
Terranuova Traiana
27 Apr
Flaminia
1 : 0
Sangiovannese
17 Apr
Sangiovannese
2 : 2
Livorno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Livorno 34 21 9 4 74:44 72
2 Fulgens Foligno 34 17 9 8 61:44 60
3 Seravezza Pozzi 34 16 11 7 53:39 59
4 Ghiviborgo 34 17 4 13 65:57 55
5 Orvietana 34 15 8 11 44:41 53
6 Siena 34 14 10 10 35:32 52
7 Grosseto 34 13 11 10 39:34 50
8 Ostiamare 34 12 9 13 49:53 45
9 Poggibonsi 34 12 7 15 32:36 43
10 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 10 13 26:26 43
11 Montevarchi 34 9 14 11 36:39 41
12 Flaminia 34 10 10 14 42:43 40
13 Follonica Gavorrano 34 10 10 14 40:45 40
14 Terranuova Traiana 34 8 15 11 34:47 39
15 Figline 34 9 11 14 29:33 38
16 Sporting Trestina 34 9 11 14 35:45 38
17 Sangiovannese 34 9 9 16 30:38 36
18 Fezzanese 34 6 8 20 35:63 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Out)