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Fgura vs Balzan FC

Malta Malta

Challenge League Victor Tedesco Stadium, Hamrun
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Dimeji A.
(Penalty)
44' Event
Portelli J.
90' Event
Mosquera Larrahondo S. D.

AI Match Summary

The Challenge League game between Fgura and Balzan FC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Balzan FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Fgura
28%
Draws
50%
Balzan FC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Balzan FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Balzan FC come out ahead of Fgura on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Balzan FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Balzan FC have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Fgura Clean Sheet 10%
Balzan FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fgura Balzan FC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 17
Draws 2 7
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 2 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2026 Challenge League
Fgura vs Balzan FC
1:2
Dec 10, 2025 Challenge League
Fgura vs Balzan FC
1:2
Dec 9, 2015 FA Trophy
Balzan FC vs Fgura
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fgura Compare

Top Goalscorer Mosquera Larrahondo S. D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Balzan FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Portelli J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fgura 22 / 100
Balzan FC 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fgura Balzan FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fgura scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Balzan FC has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Fgura remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fgura VS Balzan FC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fgura

(Home)
19 Apr
Swieqi
1 : 1
Fgura
11 Apr
Melita
0 : 1
Fgura
04 Apr
Fgura
0 : 4
Pieta
15 Mar
Sirens
3 : 2
Fgura
10 Mar
Fgura
1 : 2
Balzan FC
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Balzan FC

(Away)
24 Jul
Birzebbuga
0 : 0
Balzan FC
17 Jul
Balzan FC
1 : 0
Gzira
11 Jul
Balzan FC
1 : 2
Valletta
19 Apr
Balzan FC
2 : 0
Melita
12 Apr
Balzan FC
3 : 3
Birzebbuga
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Balzan FC22153450:2148
2Swieqi22144448:2846
3Birzebbuga22144447:2746
4Melita22122842:2838
5Sirens22112950:3335
6Pieta22105742:3435
7Fgura221021041:3732
8St. Andrews22831126:3827
Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion - Play Offs)