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Figueirense B vs Joinville

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina 2019
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AI Match Summary

Joinville in this Copa Santa Catarina 2019 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Figueirense B
15%
Draws
51%
Joinville
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Joinville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Joinville lately — more wins on the board than Figueirense B.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Joinville taking it.
  • Joinville arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Joinville, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Figueirense B Clean Sheet 20%
Joinville Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Figueirense B Joinville
Matches Played 14 31
Wins 2 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Joinville vs Figueirense B
3:0
Sep 8, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Figueirense B vs Joinville
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Figueirense B 24 / 100
Joinville 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Figueirense B Joinville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Joinville Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Figueirense B's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 14 recent games.

Joinville's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Joinville registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Joinville
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Figueirense B

(Home)
30 Oct
Joinville
3 : 0
Figueirense B
27 Oct
Figueirense B
2 : 2
Almirante Barroso
19 Oct
Figueirense B
1 : 0
Avai B
16 Oct
Brusque
4 : 2
Figueirense B
13 Oct
Figueirense B
0 : 2
Fluminense-SC
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Joinville

(Away)
19 Sept
Nacao
0 : 4
Joinville
12 Sept
Joinville
1 : 3
Hercilio Luz
05 Sept
Joinville
1 : 0
Blumenau
30 Aug
Marcilio Dias
4 : 2
Joinville
07 Jun
Sao Luiz
3 : 1
Joinville
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marcilio Dias 14 10 2 2 22:10 32
2 Brusque 14 7 4 3 26:17 25
3 Tubarao 14 6 6 2 20:13 24
4 Avai B 14 6 3 5 22:22 21
5 Fluminense-SC 14 4 5 5 25:24 17
6 Joinville 14 4 3 7 17:21 15
7 Figueirense B 14 2 4 8 14:24 10
8 Almirante Barroso 14 1 5 8 9:24 8
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2019 (Play Offs)