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Figueirense vs Valadares Gaia FC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2019/2020 game between Figueirense and Valadares Gaia FC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valadares Gaia FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Figueirense
33%
Draws
27%
Valadares Gaia FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Figueirense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valadares Gaia FC come out ahead of Figueirense on wins alone.
  • Model gives Figueirense a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Figueirense Clean Sheet 68%
Valadares Gaia FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Figueirense Valadares Gaia FC
Matches Played 21 31
Wins 1 8
Draws 2 8
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 5 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Figueirense vs Valadares Gaia FC
0:1
Aug 18, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Valadares Gaia FC vs Figueirense
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Figueirense 50 / 100
Valadares Gaia FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Figueirense Valadares Gaia FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FIG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valadares Gaia FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Valadares Gaia FC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Figueirense scored in 19% of their last 21 games.

Scoring Trends

Figueirense VS Valadares Gaia FC
0 Goals Scored 1.13
5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Figueirense

(Home)
07 Sept
Figueirense
0 : 5
Sanjoanense
08 Mar
Arouca
9 : 0
Figueirense
01 Mar
Figueirense
2 : 2
Amarante FC
23 Feb
Trofense
1 : 0
Figueirense
16 Feb
Figueirense
0 : 3
Canelas 2010
Page 1 of 5

Valadares Gaia FC

(Away)
07 Apr
SC Salgueiros
6 : 1
Valadares Gaia FC
24 Mar
Valadares Gaia FC
2 : 1
ACDR Lamelas
17 Mar
Vila Mea
3 : 3
Valadares Gaia FC
09 Mar
Valadares Gaia FC
0 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
03 Mar
Florgrade
1 : 0
Valadares Gaia FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arouca25184349:1958
2Lusitania FC25148343:1850
3SC Espinho25139344:1748
4Leca25137541:2746
5Castro Daire25128532:2244
6Sanjoanense24126635:2642
7FC Felgueiras24115847:3638
8Paredes2597926:1934
9Canelas 201025712623:1933
10Amarante FC2589831:2933
11Coimbroes25861129:4130
12Trofense25861124:3030
13Pedras Rubras25771128:3228
14Gondomar25761228:3327
15Lusitano FCV25741429:3625
16Valadares Gaia FC25741428:4725
17SC Vila Real25431820:4715
18Figueirense25232011:709
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2 2020/2021 (Main)