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Fiji vs Tuvalu

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

Pacific Games 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fiji in this Pacific Games 2019 matchup, with the score ending 10-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fiji.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Fiji
20%
Draws
60%
Tuvalu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tuvalu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Fiji have won more games recently than Tuvalu.
  • Model gives Fiji a 20% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Pacific Games 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Fiji have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Fiji Clean Sheet 20%
Tuvalu Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiji Tuvalu
Matches Played 41 18
Wins 19 4
Draws 9 2
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 2.61 1
Goals Conceded 1.37 5.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2019 Pacific Games
Fiji vs Tuvalu
10:1
Dec 1, 2017 Friendly International
Fiji vs Tuvalu
8:0
Aug 26, 2007 World Championship
Fiji vs Tuvalu
16:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiji 85 / 100
Tuvalu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiji Tuvalu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fiji Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tuvalu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 18 matches.

Historical meetings average 11.67 goals per match.

Fiji scored in 78% of their last 41 games.

Away concern: Tuvalu has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fiji VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiji

(Home)
09 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 2
Fiji
06 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 1
Fiji
22 Nov
Fiji
1 : 1
Solomon Islands
20 Nov
Papua New Guinea
2 : 0
Fiji
17 Nov
Vanuatu
2 : 0
Fiji
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Tuvalu

(Away)
30 Nov
Northern Mariana Islands
1 : 4
Tuvalu
27 Nov
Tonga
0 : 4
Tuvalu
20 Nov
Tuvalu
0 : 6
Vanuatu
17 Nov
Papua New Guinea
3 : 0
Tuvalu
17 Jul
New Caledonia
11 : 0
Tuvalu
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand U23 4 3 1 0 20:1 10
2 Papua New Guinea 4 3 0 1 16:2 9
3 Vanuatu 4 2 1 1 25:2 7
4 Samoa 4 1 0 3 3:22 3
5 Tonga 4 0 0 4 0:37 0
Promotion - Pacific Games 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Caledonia 5 5 0 0 22:0 15
2 Fiji 5 3 1 1 25:7 10
3 Tahiti 5 3 0 2 19:6 9
4 Solomon Islands 5 2 1 2 30:9 7
5 American Samoa 5 0 1 4 2:36 1
6 Tuvalu 5 0 1 4 2:42 1
Promotion - Pacific Games 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games 2019 (Play Offs)