Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Finland vs Estonia

World World

Friendly International 2024 Helsinki Olympic Stadium, Helsinki
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Jensen F.
Penalty Missed
30' Event
Jensen F.
38' Event
Hein K.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Finland and Estonia finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Finland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Finland
15%
Draws
57%
Estonia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Estonia have managed 1 goals a game lately — Finland are scoring more at 1.14.
  • Win probability leans Estonia's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Finland Clean Sheet 15%
Estonia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finland Estonia
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 2 3
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.14 1
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2024 Friendly International
Finland vs Estonia
2:1
Jan 12, 2023 Friendly International
Finland vs Estonia
0:1
Jun 4, 2021 Friendly International
Finland vs Estonia
0:1
Jun 7, 2020 Friendly International
Finland vs Estonia
0:0
Jan 11, 2019 Friendly International
Finland vs Estonia
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finland Compare

Top Goalscorer Jensen F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Estonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Tamm A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finland 27 / 100
Estonia 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finland Estonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estonia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estonia has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Finland's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Finland stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Finland VS Estonia
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Finland

(Home)
05 Jun
Hungary
2 : 1
Finland
31 May
Germany
4 : 0
Finland
30 Mar
Cape Verde
2 : 1
Finland
27 Mar
New Zealand
0 : 2
Finland
17 Nov
Finland
4 : 0
Andorra
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Estonia

(Away)
09 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0
Lithuania
06 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0
Faroe Islands
30 Mar
Rwanda
2 : 0
Estonia
27 Mar
Kenya
1 : 2
Estonia
18 Nov
Cyprus
2 : 4
Estonia
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