Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Finn Harps vs UC Dublin

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Finn Park, Ballybofey
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Dignam L.
18' Event
Cailloce K.
33'
Fanle A.

AI Match Summary

UC Dublin in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored UC Dublin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Finn Harps
30%
Draws
47%
UC Dublin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UC Dublin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • UC Dublin have won more games recently than Finn Harps.
  • Model gives Finn Harps a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors UC Dublin here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Finn Harps Clean Sheet 10%
UC Dublin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finn Harps UC Dublin
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 0.83 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Finn Harps
5:4
Jun 12, 2026 Division 1
Finn Harps vs UC Dublin
0:5
Apr 17, 2026 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Finn Harps
2:1
Feb 20, 2026 Division 1
Finn Harps vs UC Dublin
2:1
Oct 17, 2025 Division 1
Finn Harps vs UC Dublin
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finn Harps Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

UC Dublin Compare

Top Goalscorer Dignam L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cailloce K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finn Harps 40 / 100
UC Dublin 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finn Harps UC Dublin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.40 goals when they meet.

UC Dublin has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Finn Harps scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Finn Harps has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Finn Harps VS UC Dublin
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Finn Harps

(Home)
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Longford
11 Sept
Wexford
1 : 3
Finn Harps
04 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Athlone
28 Aug
UC Dublin
5 : 4
Finn Harps
21 Aug
Finn Harps
1 : 3
Cobh Ramblers
Page 1 of 6

UC Dublin

(Away)
18 Sept
Cork City
5 : 1
UC Dublin
11 Sept
UC Dublin
2 : 2
Athlone
04 Sept
Cobh Ramblers
1 : 1
UC Dublin
28 Aug
UC Dublin
5 : 4
Finn Harps
21 Aug
Kerry
1 : 1
UC Dublin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 32 22 5 5 69:30 71
2 Bray 32 14 8 10 61:44 50
3 UC Dublin 32 14 7 11 56:45 49
4 Cobh Ramblers 32 13 6 13 39:46 45
5 Longford 32 12 8 12 42:41 44
6 Athlone 32 12 8 12 36:36 44
7 Kerry 32 11 9 12 39:39 42
8 Wexford 32 11 7 14 37:47 40
9 Treaty United 32 8 9 15 31:47 33
10 Finn Harps 32 6 7 19 29:64 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)