Sport Picks
Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace
Europe
Conference League 2025/2026 Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence 
Match Events
17'
17'
Sarr I.
Assist: Munoz D.
30'
30'
Sub
Wharton A. In: Lerma J.
Out: Wharton A.
30'
30'
Gudmundsson A.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Fiorentina advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fiorentina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Fiorentina come out ahead of Crystal Palace on wins alone.
- Model gives Fiorentina a 90% chance of winning this.
- Fiorentina have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Fiorentina, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Fiorentina Clean Sheet 68%
Crystal Palace Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fiorentina | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 16, 2026 Conference League
Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace
2:1
Apr 9, 2026 Conference League
Crystal Palace vs Fiorentina
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fiorentina Compare
Top Goalscorer Ndour C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Crystal Palace Compare
Top Goalscorer Sarr I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fiorentina 95 / 100
Crystal Palace 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fiorentina Crystal Palace
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FIO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Fiorentina scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Crystal Palace conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Fiorentina went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Fiorentina VS Crystal Palace
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Fiorentina
(Home) 29 Jul
Watford
0 : 1 Fiorentina
25 Jul
QPR
3 : 2 Fiorentina
22 Jul
Fiorentina
1 : 0 Gubbio
19 Jul
Fiorentina
8 : 1 Fiorentina U20
22 May
Fiorentina
1 : 1 Atalanta
Page 1 of 6
22 Jul
Fiorentina
1 : 0 Gubbio
19 Jul
Fiorentina
8 : 1 Fiorentina U20
22 May
Fiorentina
1 : 1 Atalanta
10 May
Fiorentina
0 : 0 Genoa
26 Apr
Fiorentina
0 : 0 Sassuolo
Page 1 of 3
Crystal Palace
(Away) 28 Jul
Famalicao
0 : 1 Crystal Palace
28 Jul
Crystal Palace
0 : 3 Lens
25 Jul
Bromley
3 : 0 Crystal Palace
18 Jul
Crystal Palace
5 : 1 Swindon
27 May
Crystal Palace
1 : 0 Rayo Vallecano
Page 1 of 6
28 Jul
Famalicao
0 : 1 Crystal Palace
25 Jul
Bromley
3 : 0 Crystal Palace
17 May
Brentford
2 : 2 Crystal Palace
13 May
Manchester City
3 : 0 Crystal Palace
03 May
Bournemouth
3 : 0 Crystal Palace
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
KuPS0
Lech Poznan3
Shakhtar-
TBD-
Noah1
AZ Alkmaar4
Sparta Prague-
TBD-
Zrinjski1
Crystal Palace3
AEK Larnaca-
TBD-
Jagiellonia4
Fiorentina5
Rakow Czestochowa-
TBD-
Shkendija Tetovo0
Samsunspor5
Rayo Vallecano-
TBD-
Drita4
Celje6
AEK-
TBD-
Sigma Olomouc3
Lausanne2
Mainz-
TBD-
Omonia1
Rijeka4
Strasbourg-
TBD-
1/8-finals
Lech Poznan3
Shakhtar4
AZ Alkmaar6
Sparta Prague1
Crystal Palace2
AEK Larnaca1
Fiorentina4
Rakow Czestochowa2
Samsunspor2
Rayo Vallecano3
Celje2
AEK4
Sigma Olomouc0
Mainz2
Rijeka2
Strasbourg3
Quarter-finals
Shakhtar5
AZ Alkmaar2
Crystal Palace4
Fiorentina2
Rayo Vallecano4
AEK3
Mainz2
Strasbourg4
Semi-finals
Shakhtar2
Crystal Palace5
Rayo Vallecano2
Strasbourg0
Final
Crystal Palace1
Rayo Vallecano0
