Sport Picks
Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace Prediction & H2H Stats
Europe
Conference League 2025/2026 Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence 
Match Events
17'
17'
Sarr I.
Assist: Munoz D.
30'
30'
Sub
Wharton A. In: Lerma J.
Out: Wharton A.
30'
30'
Gudmundsson A.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Fiorentina advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Crystal Palace have managed 1.52 goals a game lately — Fiorentina are scoring more at 1.62.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Fiorentina, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Fiorentina Clean Sheet 12%
Crystal Palace Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fiorentina | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 16, 2026 Conference League
Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace
2:1
Apr 9, 2026 Conference League
Crystal Palace vs Fiorentina
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fiorentina Compare
Top Goalscorer Ndour C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Crystal Palace Compare
Top Goalscorer Sarr I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fiorentina 35 / 100
Crystal Palace 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fiorentina Crystal Palace
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Crystal Palace Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Fiorentina scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Crystal Palace conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Fiorentina went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Fiorentina VS Crystal Palace
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Fiorentina
(Home) 20 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 1 Napoli
15 Sept
Fiorentina
3 : 0 Pisa
11 Sept
Venezia
2 : 4 Fiorentina
05 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 2 Torino
29 Aug
Fiorentina
0 : 3 Frosinone
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 1 Napoli
15 Sept
Fiorentina
3 : 0 Pisa
05 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 2 Torino
29 Aug
Fiorentina
0 : 3 Frosinone
14 Aug
Fiorentina
4 : 1 Benevento
Page 1 of 4
Crystal Palace
(Away) 03 Oct
Crystal Palace
0 : 2 Bristol City
20 Sept
Leeds
0 : 0 Crystal Palace
17 Sept
Crystal Palace
4 : 0 Lech Poznan
12 Sept
Crystal Palace
2 : 3 Ipswich
08 Sept
Crystal Palace
3 : 0 Middlesbrough
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Leeds
0 : 0 Crystal Palace
05 Sept
Fulham
2 : 3 Crystal Palace
22 Aug
Everton
2 : 0 Crystal Palace
15 Aug
Freiburg
3 : 0 Crystal Palace
07 Aug
Fulham
1 : 2 Crystal Palace
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
KuPS 0
Lech Poznan 3
Shakhtar -
TBD -
Noah 1
AZ Alkmaar 4
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
Zrinjski 1
Crystal Palace 3
AEK Larnaca -
TBD -
Jagiellonia 4
Fiorentina 5
Rakow Czestochowa -
TBD -
Shkendija Tetovo 0
Samsunspor 5
Rayo Vallecano -
TBD -
Drita 4
Celje 6
AEK -
TBD -
Sigma Olomouc 3
Lausanne 2
Mainz -
TBD -
Omonia 1
Rijeka 4
Strasbourg -
TBD -
1/8-finals
Lech Poznan 3
Shakhtar 4
AZ Alkmaar 6
Sparta Prague 1
Crystal Palace 2
AEK Larnaca 1
Fiorentina 4
Rakow Czestochowa 2
Samsunspor 2
Rayo Vallecano 3
Celje 2
AEK 4
Sigma Olomouc 0
Mainz 2
Rijeka 2
Strasbourg 3
Quarter-finals
Shakhtar 5
AZ Alkmaar 2
Crystal Palace 4
Fiorentina 2
Rayo Vallecano 4
AEK 3
Mainz 2
Strasbourg 4
Semi-finals
Shakhtar 2
Crystal Palace 5
Rayo Vallecano 2
Strasbourg 0
Final
Crystal Palace 1
Rayo Vallecano 0
