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Fiorentina W vs Parma W

Italy Italy

Serie A Women 2025/2026 Curva Fiesole - Viola Park, Bagno a Ripoli
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Match Events

33'
Sub
Uffren M. In: Benedetti V.
Out: Uffren M.
34'
Bou B.
54'
Sub
Lombardi E. In: Johansen O.
Out: Lombardi E.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Women 2025/2026 game between Fiorentina W and Parma W finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Fiorentina W
15%
Draws
26%
Parma W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fiorentina W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Fiorentina W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Fiorentina W taking it.
  • Regular Serie A Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Fiorentina W Clean Sheet 15%
Parma W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiorentina W Parma W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 5
Draws 7 10
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Serie A Women
Fiorentina W vs Parma W
0:0
Nov 15, 2025 Serie A Women
Parma W vs Fiorentina W
1:1
Dec 10, 2022 Serie A Women
Parma W vs Fiorentina W
0:4
Sep 18, 2022 Serie A Women
Fiorentina W vs Parma W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiorentina W 84 / 100
Parma W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiorentina W Parma W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fiorentina W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fiorentina W scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Parma W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Fiorentina W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fiorentina W VS Parma W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiorentina W

(Home)
05 Sept
AS Roma W
3 : 0
Fiorentina W
30 Aug
Fiorentina W
3 : 1
Ternana W
23 Aug
Fiorentina W
1 : 2
Sassuolo W
08 Aug
Fiorentina W
1 : 1
Manchester City W
05 Aug
Cesena W
0 : 6
Fiorentina W
Page 1 of 6

Parma W

(Away)
19 Sept
Arezzo W
0 : 3
Parma W
06 Sept
Napoli W
1 : 0
Parma W
30 Aug
Lazio W
2 : 0
Parma W
21 Aug
Parma W
0 : 1
Inter W
13 Aug
Hellas Verona W
4 : 2
Parma W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma W 22 17 4 1 44:19 55
2 Inter W 22 13 5 4 49:26 44
3 Juventus W 22 11 6 5 33:19 39
4 Fiorentina W 22 10 6 6 33:30 36
5 Lazio W 22 10 3 9 31:30 33
6 AC Milan W 22 9 5 8 31:26 32
7 Napoli W 22 8 8 6 30:25 32
8 Como W 22 8 6 8 24:22 30
9 Sassuolo W 22 4 6 12 17:34 18
10 Ternana W 22 4 5 13 19:40 17
11 Parma W 22 2 10 10 16:31 16
12 Genoa W 22 2 4 16 18:43 10
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Relegation - Serie B Women (Main)