Sport Picks
Fiorentino vs La Fiorita Prediction & H2H Stats
San Marino
Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 Stadio di Fiorentino, Fiorentino 
Match Events
1'
1'
Ben Kacem M.
20'
20'
Guidi T.
Assist: Felipe J.
25'
25'
Abouzziane S.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-2, with Fiorentino advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
35%
39%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: La Fiorita
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Fiorentino have managed 1.41 goals a game lately — La Fiorita are scoring more at 1.62.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor La Fiorita, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Fiorentino Clean Sheet 18%
La Fiorita Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fiorentino | La Fiorita |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 34 |
| Wins | 15 | 15 |
| Draws | 2 | 12 |
| Losses | 12 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs La Fiorita
1:1
May 5, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs La Fiorita
3:2
May 2, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs Fiorentino
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs La Fiorita
1:2
Feb 11, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs Fiorentino
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fiorentino Compare
Top Goalscorer Ben Kacem M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Abouzziane S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
La Fiorita Compare
Top Goalscorer Guidi T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Semprini J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fiorentino 32 / 100
La Fiorita 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fiorentino La Fiorita
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Fiorentino scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
La Fiorita's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 34 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Recent resilience: Fiorentino stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Fiorentino VS La Fiorita
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Fiorentino
(Home) 19 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 1 Fiorentino
11 Sept
Fiorentino
1 : 1 La Fiorita
08 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Tre Fiori
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Virtus
28 Aug
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 2 Fiorentino
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Fiorentino
1 : 1 La Fiorita
08 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Tre Fiori
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Virtus
22 Aug
Fiorentino
1 : 4 Tre Penne
05 May
Fiorentino
3 : 2 La Fiorita
Page 1 of 4
La Fiorita
(Away) 19 Sept
SP Domagnano
1 : 2 La Fiorita
11 Sept
Fiorentino
1 : 1 La Fiorita
06 Sept
La Fiorita
1 : 1 San Marino Academy U22
30 Aug
Virtus
0 : 0 La Fiorita
25 Aug
Tre Fiori
3 : 2 La Fiorita
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
SP Domagnano
1 : 2 La Fiorita
11 Sept
Fiorentino
1 : 1 La Fiorita
30 Aug
Virtus
0 : 0 La Fiorita
25 Aug
Tre Fiori
3 : 2 La Fiorita
07 Jul
UNA Strassen
1 : 0 La Fiorita
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Virtus -
TBD -
Juvenes/Dogana 1
AC Libertas 1
Folgore -
TBD -
TBD -
SP Domagnano -
Tre Penne -
TBD -
SP Cosmos 3
SS Pennarossa 0
La Fiorita -
TBD -
TBD -
Fiorentino -
Quarter-finals
Virtus 2
Juvenes/Dogana 0
Folgore 2
SP Domagnano 3
Tre Penne 0
SP Cosmos 0
La Fiorita 3
Fiorentino 3
Semi-finals
Virtus 3
SP Domagnano 3
Tre Penne 1
La Fiorita 2
Final
Virtus 2
La Fiorita 1
SP Domagnano 1
Tre Penne 3
