Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fiorentino vs SC Faetano

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 Stadio di Fiorentino, Fiorentino
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Ben Kacem M.
Assist: Belward S.
37' Event
Pallante G.
50' Event
Elia G.

AI Match Summary

SC Faetano in this Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Faetano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Fiorentino
30%
Draws
23%
SC Faetano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fiorentino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fiorentino lately — more wins on the board than SC Faetano.
  • Model gives Fiorentino a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Fiorentino Clean Sheet 20%
SC Faetano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiorentino SC Faetano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 4
Draws 2 6
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.37 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs SC Faetano
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SC Faetano vs Fiorentino
0:3
Apr 27, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SC Faetano vs Fiorentino
2:3
Jan 11, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs SC Faetano
1:0
Apr 14, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs SC Faetano
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fiorentino Compare

Top Goalscorer Ben Kacem M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

SC Faetano Compare

Top Goalscorer Pallante G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Elia G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiorentino 85 / 100
SC Faetano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiorentino SC Faetano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fiorentino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Faetano let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Fiorentino found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

SC Faetano's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fiorentino VS SC Faetano
1.88 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiorentino

(Home)
19 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 1
Fiorentino
11 Sept
Fiorentino
1 : 1
La Fiorita
08 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Tre Fiori
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Virtus
28 Aug
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 2
Fiorentino
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SC Faetano

(Away)
18 Sept
AC Libertas
1 : 1
SC Faetano
13 Sept
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 0
SC Faetano
08 Sept
SP Domagnano
3 : 1
SC Faetano
04 Sept
SC Faetano
0 : 4
Tre Fiori
28 Aug
Juvenes/Dogana
4 : 0
SC Faetano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tre Fiori 30 22 7 1 63:13 73
2 Virtus 30 22 6 2 76:20 72
3 Tre Penne 30 21 7 2 71:18 70
4 La Fiorita 30 17 11 2 64:25 57
5 Folgore 30 16 9 5 67:33 57
6 SP Domagnano 30 14 7 9 59:36 49
7 Fiorentino 30 14 4 12 37:42 46
8 SP Cosmos 30 11 9 10 30:23 42
9 Juvenes/Dogana 30 9 10 11 36:38 37
10 AC Libertas 30 9 8 13 32:63 35
11 SS Pennarossa 30 8 8 14 29:53 32
12 San Giovanni 30 7 10 13 24:43 31
13 SC Faetano 30 6 4 20 22:55 22
14 San Marino Academy U22 30 3 7 20 23:60 16
15 Cailungo 30 2 5 23 23:71 11
16 SS Murata 30 1 4 25 20:83 -2
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)