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First Bank vs Osun United

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL
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AI Match Summary

The NNL game between First Bank and Osun United finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward First Bank.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
First Bank
15%
Draws
26%
Osun United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: First Bank

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Osun United come out ahead of First Bank on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
First Bank Clean Sheet 20%
Osun United Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric First Bank Osun United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.97 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 NNL
First Bank vs Osun United
2:0
Nov 29, 2025 NNL
Osun United vs First Bank
2:1
Jun 14, 2025 NNL
Osun United vs First Bank
3:1
Dec 7, 2024 NNL
First Bank vs Osun United
0:0
Nov 30, 2024 NNL
First Bank vs Osun United
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

First Bank 31 / 100
Osun United 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
First Bank Osun United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick First Bank Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

First Bank found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Osun United let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

First Bank has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

First Bank VS Osun United
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

First Bank

(Home)
16 Apr
First Bank
3 : 3
Godswill Akpabio
04 Apr
Sporting Lagos
5 : 0
First Bank
01 Apr
First Bank
1 : 0
Solution
28 Mar
First Bank
2 : 0
Osun United
15 Mar
Stormers
3 : 1
First Bank
Page 1 of 6

Osun United

(Away)
16 Apr
Osun United
0 : 1
Sporting Lagos
04 Apr
Osun United
2 : 1
Solution
28 Mar
First Bank
2 : 0
Osun United
25 Mar
Osun United
0 : 1
Stormers
14 Mar
Rovers FC
2 : 0
Osun United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Lagos 16 8 5 3 26:13 29
2 Beyond Limits FC 16 7 7 2 23:13 28
3 Heartland FC 16 8 3 5 21:17 27
4 Smart City 16 8 3 5 21:19 27
5 Sunshine Stars 16 7 4 5 18:14 25
6 Edel FC 16 6 2 8 14:20 20
7 Crown FC 16 4 4 8 18:19 16
8 Abia Comets 16 4 3 9 16:31 15
9 Gateway United 16 3 3 10 13:24 12
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Lagos 18 11 3 4 31:14 36
2 Akwa United 18 11 2 5 23:13 35
3 Ekiti United 18 10 0 8 21:17 30
4 Stormers 18 8 2 8 24:26 26
5 Abakaliki 18 7 4 7 19:17 25
6 Solution 18 8 1 9 18:22 25
7 Godswill Akpabio 18 6 6 6 27:24 24
8 Rovers FC 18 7 1 10 15:21 22
9 Osun United 18 6 2 10 16:24 20
10 First Bank 18 4 3 11 15:31 15
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Doma United 14 8 2 4 18:11 26
2 Lobi 14 7 2 5 12:10 23
3 Basira 14 6 3 5 17:14 21
4 Kada Warriors 14 5 5 4 11:9 20
5 Sokoto United 14 5 3 6 9:11 18
6 ABS 14 5 2 7 10:16 17
7 Mighty Jets 14 5 1 8 14:16 16
8 City FC Abuja 14 4 4 6 10:14 16
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ranchers Bees 12 6 2 4 11:9 20
2 Adamawa Utd 12 6 0 6 12:11 18
3 Jigawa Golden Stars 12 5 3 4 12:15 18
4 Yobe Stars 12 5 2 5 14:13 17
5 Kebbi 12 5 1 6 11:11 16
6 Bichi First 12 4 3 5 11:9 15
7 Gombe 12 4 3 5 8:11 15
8 Sporting Supreme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)