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FK Alberts vs Caramba

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-6, with Caramba advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FK Alberts
15%
Draws
85%
Caramba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caramba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Caramba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Caramba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Caramba arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Caramba, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FK Alberts Clean Sheet 10%
Caramba Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Alberts Caramba
Matches Played 30 16
Wins 5 11
Draws 2 0
Losses 23 5
Goals Scored 1.2 3.56
Goals Conceded 3.53 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2021 Latvian Cup
Caramba vs FK Alberts
2:0
Jul 3, 2016 Latvian Cup
FK Alberts vs Caramba
0:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Alberts 10 / 100
Caramba 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Alberts Caramba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caramba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

FK Alberts found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Caramba conceded in 50% of 16 recent games.

Caramba lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Alberts VS Caramba
0.75 Goals Scored 2.63
3.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Alberts

(Home)
14 May
Speks
4 : 3
FK Alberts
16 May
Bauskas / Memele
4 : 0
FK Alberts
26 May
Kekava-Auda
5 : 1
FK Alberts
22 May
FK Alberts
1 : 4
LSPA
04 Jul
Caramba
2 : 0
FK Alberts
Page 1 of 6

Caramba

(Away)
31 Jul
FK Auda Riga
3 : 1
Caramba
17 Jul
Caramba
11 : 0
Valka
04 Jul
Caramba
2 : 0
FK Alberts
04 Aug
Caramba
1 : 2
FK Karosta
13 Jul
Alberts JDFS
0 : 1
Caramba
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kuldigas NSS 3
FK Salacgriva 0
TBD -
Saldus SS/Brocenu BJSS -
FK Smiltene -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
Caramba -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Alberts -
DSVK Traktors -
TBD -
TBD -
Mersrags -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 3
Upesciems 1
TBD -
Saldus -
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Babite -
Ogre -
TBD -
TBD -
Preilu BJSS -
Aliance -
TBD -
Salaspils FK 0
SK Cesis 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFA Olaine -
TBD -
TBD -
Alberts JDFS -
Dinamo Riga 1
Ludzas SK 0
TBD -
Jekabpils SC -
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
JFC Dobele -
Fortuna / Ogre -
TBD -
Grobina 3
Kraslava 8
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
Plavinas 1
Nica FC 2
Igate/Tami-Tami 4
Riga United 1
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Bebri -
TBD -
FK Limbazi 2
FK Dobele 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lielupe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
1/32-finals
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kuldigas NSS 6
Saldus SS/Brocenu BJSS 0
FK Smiltene 1
Rezekne 2
Caramba 6
FK Alberts 0
DSVK Traktors 2
Mersrags 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze -
Saldus -
Valmiera 0
SK Babite 6
Ogre 1
Preilu BJSS 0
Aliance 1
SK Cesis 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFA Olaine 3
Alberts JDFS 0
Dinamo Riga 0
Jekabpils SC 2
Skonto 17
JFC Dobele 0
Fortuna / Ogre 0
Kraslava 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga 3
Nica FC 1
Igate/Tami-Tami 0
Tukums 2000 6
Bebri 6
FK Dobele 2
TBD -
Lielupe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
1/16-finals
Ventspils -
TBD -
Kuldigas NSS 1
Rezekne 16
Caramba 8
Mersrags 0
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
FK Metta -
TBD -
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 0
SK Babite 3
Ogre 4
SK Cesis 0
TBD -
RFS -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
AFA Olaine 1
Jekabpils SC 2
Skonto 5
Kraslava 0
TBD -
Jelgava -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga 2
Tukums 2000 4
Bebri 8
Lielupe 1
TBD -
Riga FC -
1/8-finals
Ventspils 2
Rezekne 0
Caramba 2
FK Liepaja 5
FK Metta 2
SK Babite 0
Ogre 0
RFS 7
Spartaks Jurmala 10
Jekabpils SC 0
Skonto 0
Jelgava 2
BFC Daugavpils 1
Tukums 2000 0
Bebri 0
Riga FC 4
Quarter-finals
Ventspils 3
FK Liepaja 0
FK Metta 0
RFS 1
Spartaks Jurmala 1
Jelgava 0
BFC Daugavpils 0
Riga FC 3
Semi-finals
Ventspils 2
RFS 1
Spartaks Jurmala 1
Riga FC 4
Final
Ventspils 3
Riga FC 2