Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Baku vs Sahdag Qusar

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2015/2016 Tofiq Bahramov Stadium, Baku
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Baku in this First Division 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Baku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FK Baku
33%
Draws
27%
Sahdag Qusar
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: FK Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Baku haven't matched Sahdag Qusar's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on FK Baku taking it.
  • Regular First Division 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
FK Baku Clean Sheet 17%
Sahdag Qusar Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Baku Sahdag Qusar
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0 1.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2016 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs FK Baku
2:1
Oct 30, 2015 I Liqa
FK Baku vs Sahdag Qusar
3:0
Apr 7, 2007 Premier League
FK Baku vs Sahdag Qusar
3:1
Nov 14, 2006 Premier League
Sahdag Qusar vs FK Baku
0:0
Feb 21, 2006 Premier League
Sahdag Qusar vs FK Baku
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Baku 39 / 100
Sahdag Qusar 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Baku Sahdag Qusar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FK Baku scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Sahdag Qusar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

FK Baku went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sahdag Qusar
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Baku

(Home)
12 May
Sharurspor
0 : 2
FK Baku
06 May
FK Baku
3 : 0
Bakili Baku
30 Apr
Mingachevir
3 : 1
FK Baku
22 Apr
FK Baku
1 : 1
Goyazan Qazax
15 Apr
FK Baku
4 : 0
Imisli FK
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Sahdag Qusar

(Away)
22 May
Sahdag Qusar
1 : 1
Baku Sporting
15 May
Sabail
0 : 0
Sahdag Qusar
05 May
Sahdag Qusar
2 : 0
Mingachevir
29 Apr
MOIK Baku
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
22 Apr
Zaqatala PFK
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ANSAD Neftcala26202474:2062
2Lokbatan26184459:2858
3Agsu (Inactive)26138546:2947
4MOIK Baku26145753:2447
5Shamkir26108830:2438
6Zaqatala PFK2699847:3636
7Turan261061035:3136
8Imisli FK26881028:2632
9FK Baku26931433:4230
10Bakili Baku26861234:4630
11Sahdag Qusar26861231:5430
12Sharurspor26841445:4428
13Goyazan Qazax26381517:4217
14Mingachevir26431914:10015
Promotion - Premier League 2016/2017 (Main)