Sport Picks
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye vs Chernomorets Novorossijsk
Russia
FNL 2025/2026 Chayka Central Stadium, Peschanokopskoye 
Match Events
15'
15'
Sub
Antonov A. In: Khalilov M.
Out: Antonov A.
17'
17'
Nikolaev O.
22'
22'
Zhigulev I.
AI Match Summary
The FNL 2025/2026 game between FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye and Chernomorets Novorossijsk finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chernomorets Novorossijsk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye haven't matched Chernomorets Novorossijsk's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye Clean Sheet 15%
Chernomorets Novorossijsk Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye | Chernomorets Novorossijsk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 19 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.5 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.50 | 2.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 8, 2026 FNL
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye vs Chernomorets Novorossijsk
0:2
Sep 15, 2025 FNL
Chernomorets Novorossijsk vs FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
4:1
Mar 23, 2025 FNL
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye vs Chernomorets Novorossijsk
0:2
Jul 21, 2024 FNL
Chernomorets Novorossijsk vs FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
1:2
May 14, 2023 FNL 2 - Group 1
Chernomorets Novorossijsk vs FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Chernomorets Novorossijsk Compare
Top Goalscorer Khubulov A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sutugin I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 31 / 100
Chernomorets Novorossijsk 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye Chernomorets Novorossijsk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CHE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chernomorets Novorossijsk has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Chernomorets Novorossijsk has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye VS Chernomorets Novorossijsk
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
(Home) 16 May
R. Volgograd
5 : 0 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
08 May
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
0 : 2 Chernomorets Novorossijsk
03 May
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
0 : 2 Torpedo Moscow
26 Apr
Kamaz
2 : 1 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
22 Apr
Ulyanovsk
2 : 1 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
Page 1 of 6
08 May
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
0 : 2 Chernomorets Novorossijsk
03 May
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
0 : 2 Torpedo Moscow
18 Apr
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
2 : 0 Fakel Voronezh
11 Apr
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
1 : 4 Yenisey
29 Mar
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
2 : 1 Chelyabinsk
Page 1 of 4
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
(Away) 16 May
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
2 : 1 Ural
08 May
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
0 : 2 Chernomorets Novorossijsk
02 May
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
1 : 3 Rodina Moscow
26 Apr
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
0 : 1 Saratov
22 Apr
Neftekhimik
4 : 0 Chernomorets Novorossijsk
Page 1 of 6
08 May
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
0 : 2 Chernomorets Novorossijsk
22 Apr
Neftekhimik
4 : 0 Chernomorets Novorossijsk
18 Apr
Ufa
1 : 0 Chernomorets Novorossijsk
03 Apr
Chelyabinsk
1 : 1 Chernomorets Novorossijsk
21 Mar
Kamaz
3 : 1 Chernomorets Novorossijsk
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodina Moscow | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:28 | 68 |
| 2 | Fakel Voronezh | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 44:22 | 68 |
| 3 | Ural | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 51:31 | 61 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 47:26 | 56 |
| 5 | Kamaz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 46:34 | 49 |
| 6 | Yenisey | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 37:35 | 49 |
| 7 | S. Kostroma | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 46:41 | 49 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 34:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Torpedo Moscow | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 37:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Chelyabinsk | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 42:40 | 44 |
| 11 | Neftekhimik | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40:41 | 43 |
| 12 | SKA Khabarovsk | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37:45 | 42 |
| 13 | Arsenal Tula | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42:44 | 39 |
| 14 | Ulyanovsk | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 35:48 | 37 |
| 15 | Ufa | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:40 | 37 |
| 16 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37:49 | 35 |
| 17 | Saratov | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 16:44 | 26 |
| 18 | FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:76 | 22 |
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