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Stadium Background

FK Gorodeja vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup 2020/2021 Gorodeya Stadium, Gorodeya
FK Gorodeja Logo

FK Gorodeja

0 - 3
FT
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Logo

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Senko V.
42' Event
Miroevskiy A.
45'
Sub
Shibun M. In: Baiduk D.
Out: Shibun M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Arsenal Dzerzhinsk advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
FK Gorodeja
30%
Draws
12%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FK Gorodeja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Gorodeja haven't matched Arsenal Dzerzhinsk's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on FK Gorodeja taking it.
  • Arsenal Dzerzhinsk arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Arsenal Dzerzhinsk, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
FK Gorodeja Clean Sheet 68%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Gorodeja Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 9 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.07 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2020 Belarusian Cup
FK Gorodeja vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0:3
Feb 26, 2020 Club Friendly
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs FK Gorodeja
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Gorodeja Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Senko V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Miroevskiy A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Gorodeja 95 / 100
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Gorodeja Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Gorodeja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: FK Gorodeja scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

FK Gorodeja has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Gorodeja

(Home)
28 Nov
Isloch Minsk
2 : 2
FK Gorodeja
22 Nov
FK Gorodeja
1 : 4
Dynamo Brest
07 Nov
Slutsk
0 : 1
FK Gorodeja
24 Oct
FK Gorodeja
4 : 0
FK Smolevichi
17 Oct
Neman
0 : 1
FK Gorodeja
Page 1 of 6

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

(Away)
18 Sept
ML Vitebsk
5 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
12 Sept
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 0
FK Baranovici
07 Sept
Isloch Minsk
1 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
30 Aug
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2 : 4
Zhodino
22 Aug
Belshina
2 : 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Pershiy Region 0
Lokomotiv Gomel 15
TBD -
Slutsk -
BGU Minsk 0
FC Gomel 5
TBD -
Shakhtyor Soligorsk -
Novaya Pripyat 0
Volna Pinsk 3
TBD -
Slavia Mozyr -
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi 2
FC Slonim 5
TBD -
Neman -
Polotsk 1
Chimik Svetlogorsk 3
TBD -
Rukh Brest -
Energetik-BGATU 2
Ostrovets 6
TBD -
FC Minsk -
Krumkachy -
TBD -
TBD -
Din. Minsk -
BumProm Gomel 0
Dnepr Mogilev 6
TBD -
Isloch Minsk -
Kronon Stolbtsy 0
Mikashevichi 6
TBD -
BATE -
Meliorator Zhitkovichi 3
FK Lida 0
TBD -
Dynamo Brest -
Stroitel Kapyl 1
Orsha 3
TBD -
SKA-1938 Minsk -
FK Baranovici 1
Smorgon 0
TBD -
Vitebsk -
Osipovichi 1
Sputnik 3
TBD -
Belshina -
Gorki 0
Oshmyany 3
TBD -
Zhodino -
Spartak Shklov 0
Naftan 4
TBD -
FK Gorodeja -
Stanles Pinsk 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1
TBD -
FK Smolevichi -
1/16-finals
Lokomotiv Gomel 0
Slutsk 2
FC Gomel 1
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 4
Volna Pinsk 0
Slavia Mozyr 4
FC Slonim 1
Neman 3
Chimik Svetlogorsk 0
Rukh Brest 3
Ostrovets 0
FC Minsk 3
Krumkachy 2
Din. Minsk 0
Dnepr Mogilev 1
Isloch Minsk 2
Mikashevichi 0
BATE 5
Meliorator Zhitkovichi 0
Dynamo Brest 3
Orsha 1
SKA-1938 Minsk 6
FK Baranovici 0
Vitebsk 6
Sputnik 3
Belshina 2
Oshmyany 0
Zhodino 5
Naftan 0
FK Gorodeja 2
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 4
FK Smolevichi 1
1/8-finals
Slutsk 1
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 4
Slavia Mozyr 0
Neman 2
Rukh Brest 0
FC Minsk 3
Krumkachy 0
Isloch Minsk 4
BATE 4
Dynamo Brest 2
SKA-1938 Minsk 0
Vitebsk 1
Sputnik 1
Zhodino 4
FK Gorodeja 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 3
Quarter-finals
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 4
Neman 2
FC Minsk 1
Isloch Minsk 1
BATE 5
Vitebsk 3
Zhodino 3
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 0
Semi-finals
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 1
Isloch Minsk 2
BATE 5
Zhodino 2
Final
Isloch Minsk 1
BATE 2