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Stadium Background

FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FC Hegelmann

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Darius and Girėnas Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Burba M.
Assist: Pavlovic D.
26'
Burdzilauskas T.
31' Event
Ourega F.
Assist: Benchaib A.

AI Match Summary

The TOPLYGA game between FK Kauno Zalgiris and FC Hegelmann finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Kauno Zalgiris.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FK Kauno Zalgiris
6%
Draws
4%
FC Hegelmann
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Kauno Zalgiris come out ahead of FC Hegelmann on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans FK Kauno Zalgiris's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular TOPLYGA form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
FK Kauno Zalgiris Clean Sheet 68%
FC Hegelmann Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Kauno Zalgiris FC Hegelmann
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 6
Draws 8 12
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.25 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 TOPLYGA
FC Hegelmann vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FC Hegelmann
5:0
Oct 1, 2025 TOPLYGA
FC Hegelmann vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
1:1
Aug 27, 2025 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FC Hegelmann
2:1
Jun 19, 2025 TOPLYGA
FC Hegelmann vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Kauno Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Ourega F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Burba M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

FC Hegelmann Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kauno Zalgiris 95 / 100
FC Hegelmann 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Kauno Zalgiris FC Hegelmann

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Kauno Zalgiris's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: FC Hegelmann conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

FK Kauno Zalgiris went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

FK Kauno Zalgiris VS FC Hegelmann
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Kauno Zalgiris2097438:1534
2Dziugas Telsiai2096529:2233
3Zalgiris2094730:2231
4Banga2086622:1530
5Suduva1979321:1630
6Transinvest2085729:2829
7FC Hegelmann19310620:2919
8FK Panevezys20541118:3719
9FA Siauliai20271118:4113
10Riteriai00000:00