Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Kozlovice vs MFK Karvina

Czech Republic Czech Republic

MOL Cup Kozlovice - trava, Kozlovice
Wed, Aug 26, 2026
2 - 1
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Sasinka O.
46'
Sub
Aldin I. In: Vavrik V.
Out: Aldin I.
59'
Sub
Kozak M. In: Olsansky R.
Out: Kozak M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
FK Kozlovice
15%
Draws
28%
MFK Karvina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Kozlovice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • MFK Karvina haven't matched FK Kozlovice's recent run of results.
  • FK Kozlovice are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • FK Kozlovice have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor MFK Karvina, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
FK Kozlovice Clean Sheet 10%
MFK Karvina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Kozlovice MFK Karvina
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 18 15
Draws 5 1
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 2.29 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 MOL Cup
FK Kozlovice vs MFK Karvina
2:1
Jul 26, 2014 MOL Cup
FK Kozlovice vs MFK Karvina
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Kozlovice Compare

Top Goalscorer Rehak A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

MFK Karvina Compare

Top Goalscorer Sasinka O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kozlovice 56 / 100
MFK Karvina 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Kozlovice MFK Karvina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Kozlovice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Kozlovice scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: MFK Karvina conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: FK Kozlovice stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Kozlovice VS MFK Karvina
2.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Kozlovice

(Home)
20 Sept
FK Kozlovice
5 : 0
Brumov
16 Sept
FK Kozlovice
0 : 6
FK Pardubice
11 Sept
Batov
2 : 3
FK Kozlovice
06 Sept
FK Kozlovice
4 : 1
Prostejov B
30 Aug
Kromeriz B
0 : 1
FK Kozlovice
Page 1 of 6

MFK Karvina

(Away)
18 Sept
MFK Karvina
3 : 2
Kromeriz
11 Sept
Trinec
3 : 2
MFK Karvina
04 Sept
MFK Karvina
2 : 0
SK Kladno
29 Aug
Pribram
2 : 1
MFK Karvina
26 Aug
FK Kozlovice
2 : 1
MFK Karvina
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Velvary 0
Brandys nad Labem 1
Steti 0
Varnsdorf 6
Karlovy Vary 2
Chomutov 1
TBD -
Usti nad Labem -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Slavia Prague -
Slavia HK 1
Trutnov 2
TBD -
Benatky n. Jiz. -
Klasterec nad Ohri 4
Ostrov 3
Kosmonosy 1
Neratovice 4
Bedrichov 1
Humpolec 3
Velka Bites 2
FK Blansko 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Slovacko -
Slavia Ceske Budejovice 1
Cesky Krumlov 5
TBD -
Kraluv Dvur -
Rokycany 1
SK Horovice 0
Tempo Prague 2
Loko Praha 3
TJ Bystrice 1
Frydlant n. Ost. 2
TBD -
Opava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brno -
Zabreh 3
SK Hranice 2
Rajecko 4
Zdar nad Sazavou 1
Belotin 4
Novy Jicin 0
Vratimov FC 1
Havirov 2
Horni Becva 0
Valasske Mezirici 1
TBD -
Unicov -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zlin -
Strani 1
Vsetin 2
Chotebor 2
Velke Mezirici 0
SK Krumvir 2
Znojmo 1
TBD -
Kromeriz -
Hermanuv Mestec 3
Hlinsko 0
TBD -
Zapy -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bohemians 1905 -
FK Kozlovice 1
FK Frydek-Mistek 0
Holesov 1
Slavicin 3
Hluk 2
Brumov 3
TBD -
MFK Karvina -
Spartak Pribram 3
Povltavska FA 2
TBD -
Pisek -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Pardubice -
Bilovec 0
Vitkovice 1
Nove Sady 2
Sumperk 1
Stonava 1
Polanka nad Odrou 2
Sternberk 2
Rymarov 1
FS Trebic 0
Tasovice 1
Bohunice 1
Uhersky Brod 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Artis Brno -
FC Pencin 0
Turnov 3
TBD -
Banik Most-Sous -
SK Strakonice 1908 2
Milevsko 1
TBD -
Pribram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
Petrin Plzen 2
FK Komarov 3
TBD -
Domazlice -
Vysehrad 0
Hostoun 2
TBD -
SK Kladno -
Sparta Brno 1
Nove Mesto na Morave 0
Lanzhot 1
Bystrc 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ostrava -
Rychnov nad Kneznou 0
Chlumec nad Cidlinou 2
TBD -
Admira Prague -
Vestec 2
Benesov 4
TBD -
Taborsko -
Nyrsko 0
Krimice 6
TBD -
Ceske Budejovice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Teplice -
Bzenec-Vracov 1
Breclav 0
TBD -
Hodonin -
MFK Kravare 1
Bohumin 6
TBD -
Trinec -
Branik 1
Meteor Prague 4
Slany 0
Brozany 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mlada Boleslav -
Hvezda Cheb 0
Sokolov 3
TBD -
FK Ceska Lipa -
Vysoke Myto 8
Letohrad 1
TBD -
Vlasim -
Usti nad Orlici 2
Svitavy 1
Prepere 3
Velke Hamry 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Liberec -
Hluboka nad Vltavou 3
Spartak Sobeslav 2
TBD -
Aritma Prague -
Dvur Kralove 1
Police nad Metuji 2
TBD -
Zizkov -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sparta Prague -
Kolin 0
Horni Redice 3
TBD -
Chrudim -
Vykan 4
Caslav 3
TBD -
Dukla Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jablonec -
Bridlicna 1
Hlucin 0
Vsechovice 2
Hlubina 1
Zdirec nad Doubravou 1
FC Kurim 2
TBD -
Prostejov -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sigma Olomouc -
Vejprnice 2
Doubravka 3
Psary 2
Motorlet Prague 3
Stara Rise 0
Slovan Havlickuv Brod 4
TBD -
Jihlava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
1/64-finals
Brandys nad Labem 1
Varnsdorf 2
Karlovy Vary 0
Usti nad Labem 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Slavia Prague -
Trutnov 2
Benatky n. Jiz. 5
Klasterec nad Ohri 1
Neratovice 10
Humpolec 0
Velka Bites 2
TBD -
Slovacko -
Cesky Krumlov 3
Kraluv Dvur 4
Rokycany 0
Loko Praha 2
Frydlant n. Ost. 2
Opava 1
TBD -
Brno -
Zabreh 5
Rajecko 2
Belotin 1
Havirov 3
Valasske Mezirici 1
Unicov 2
TBD -
Zlin -
Vsetin 6
Chotebor 1
SK Krumvir 0
Kromeriz 3
Hermanuv Mestec 0
Zapy 3
TBD -
Bohemians 1905 -
FK Kozlovice 4
Slavicin 3
Brumov 0
MFK Karvina 4
Spartak Pribram 2
Pisek 3
TBD -
FK Pardubice -
Vitkovice 6
Nove Sady 0
Polanka nad Odrou 5
Sternberk 1
Tasovice 2
Uhersky Brod 3
TBD -
Artis Brno -
Turnov 0
Banik Most-Sous 2
SK Strakonice 1908 0
Pribram 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
FK Komarov 3
Domazlice 6
Hostoun 0
SK Kladno 4
Sparta Brno 2
Lanzhot 0
TBD -
Ostrava -
Chlumec nad Cidlinou 0
Admira Prague 4
Benesov 0
Taborsko 1
Krimice 2
Ceske Budejovice 0
TBD -
Teplice -
Bzenec-Vracov 2
Hodonin 0
Bohumin 1
Trinec 2
Meteor Prague 4
Brozany 1
TBD -
Mlada Boleslav -
Sokolov 3
FK Ceska Lipa 1
Vysoke Myto 2
Vlasim 4
Usti nad Orlici 3
Prepere 4
TBD -
Liberec -
Hluboka nad Vltavou 1
Aritma Prague 0
Police nad Metuji 2
Zizkov 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sparta Prague -
Horni Redice 3
Chrudim 0
Vykan 0
Dukla Prague 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jablonec -
Bridlicna 2
Vsechovice 3
FC Kurim 0
Prostejov 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sigma Olomouc -
Doubravka 2
Motorlet Prague 5
Slovan Havlickuv Brod 1
Jihlava 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
1/32-finals
Varnsdorf 1
Usti nad Labem 0
TBD -
Slavia Prague -
Benatky n. Jiz. 1
Neratovice 2
Velka Bites 1
Slovacko 2
Kraluv Dvur 4
Loko Praha 1
Frydlant n. Ost. 0
Brno 10
Zabreh 0
Havirov 4
Unicov 0
Zlin 2
Vsetin 2
Kromeriz 1
Zapy 2
Bohemians 1905 3
FK Kozlovice 2
MFK Karvina 1
Pisek 0
FK Pardubice 2
Vitkovice 2
Polanka nad Odrou 1
Uhersky Brod 0
Artis Brno 2
Banik Most-Sous 1
Pribram 2
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
Domazlice 3
SK Kladno 4
Sparta Brno 0
Ostrava 9
Admira Prague 0
Taborsko 4
Krimice 1
Teplice 2
Bzenec-Vracov 1
Trinec 4
Meteor Prague 0
Mlada Boleslav 4
Sokolov 0
Vlasim 3
Prepere 0
Liberec 2
Hluboka nad Vltavou 0
Zizkov 2
TBD -
Sparta Prague -
Horni Redice 0
Dukla Prague 5
TBD -
Jablonec -
Vsechovice 0
Prostejov 3
TBD -
Sigma Olomouc -
Motorlet Prague 0
Jihlava 3
TBD -
Plzen -
1/16-finals
Varnsdorf 1
Slavia Prague 5
Neratovice 0
Slovacko 4
Kraluv Dvur 0
Brno 3
Havirov 0
Zlin 4
Vsetin -
Bohemians 1905 -
FK Kozlovice 0
FK Pardubice 6
Vitkovice 0
Artis Brno 3
Pribram 1
Hradec Kralove 2
SK Kladno 1
Ostrava 2
Taborsko 0
Teplice 5
Trinec 0
Mlada Boleslav 3
Vlasim 0
Liberec 2
Zizkov 0
Sparta Prague 5
Dukla Prague -
Jablonec -
Prostejov 3
Sigma Olomouc 2
Jihlava -
Plzen -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -