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FK Madona Kvarcs vs Rezekne

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Madona Kvarcs play Rezekne in the Latvian Cup 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, FK Madona Kvarcs averaged 1.55 goals scored and 4.18 conceded. Rezekne averaged 1.35 goals scored and 2.48 conceded. In past meetings, FK Madona Kvarcs won 0, Rezekne won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 12, 2022 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.92 for FK Madona Kvarcs and 1.43 for Rezekne. This points to a Rezekne double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
FK Madona Kvarcs
15%
Draws
44%
Rezekne
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rezekne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Madona Kvarcs picked up more points recently compared to Rezekne.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.92 vs 1.43 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
FK Madona Kvarcs Clean Sheet 17%
Rezekne Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Madona Kvarcs Rezekne
Matches Played 11 31
Wins 4 7
Draws 0 6
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.55 1.35
Goals Conceded 4.18 2.48

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2022 Latvian Cup
FK Madona Kvarcs vs Rezekne
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Madona Kvarcs Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Rezekne Compare

Top Goalscorer Borisovs D.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Stabulnieks M. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Madona Kvarcs 40 / 100
Rezekne 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Madona Kvarcs Rezekne

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rezekne or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.5%
1.28
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FK Madona Kvarcs attacking → ← attacking Rezekne

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Madona Kvarcs scored in 73% of their last 11 games.

Rezekne let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

FK Madona Kvarcs went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Rezekne lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 27
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63