Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Mykolaiv vs Metalist Kharkiv

Ukraine Ukraine

Ukrainian Cup 2024/2025
FK Mykolaiv Logo

FK Mykolaiv

3 - 1
FT
Metalist Kharkiv Logo

Metalist Kharkiv

Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Gorenko R.
56' Event
Slavetskyi V.
69'
Digtyar K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with FK Mykolaiv advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
FK Mykolaiv
30%
Draws
34%
Metalist Kharkiv
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FK Mykolaiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Metalist Kharkiv carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FK Mykolaiv a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Metalist Kharkiv arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Mykolaiv, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
FK Mykolaiv Clean Sheet 20%
Metalist Kharkiv Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Mykolaiv Metalist Kharkiv
Matches Played 7 29
Wins 4 10
Draws 0 6
Losses 3 13
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2024 Ukrainian Cup
FK Mykolaiv vs Metalist Kharkiv
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Mykolaiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Slavetskyi V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dmukhovskyi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Metalist Kharkiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Gorenko R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Mykolaiv 36 / 100
Metalist Kharkiv 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Mykolaiv Metalist Kharkiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FK Mykolaiv scored in 100% of their last 7 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Metalist Kharkiv's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Solid form: FK Mykolaiv remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Metalist Kharkiv
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Mykolaiv

(Home)
15 Feb
FC Kharkiv
2 : 1
FK Mykolaiv
21 Aug
FK Mykolaiv
1 : 2
Bukovyna
11 Aug
FK Mykolaiv
3 : 1
Metalist Kharkiv
03 Aug
FK Mykolaiv
1 : 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
15 Aug
FK Mykolaiv
1 : 3
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Page 1 of 2

Metalist Kharkiv

(Away)
26 Jul
Kulikiv
2 : 1
Metalist Kharkiv
14 Jul
Bukovyna
1 : 1
Metalist Kharkiv
01 Jun
Ch. Odesa
1 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
26 May
FC Chernihiv
1 : 2
Metalist Kharkiv
23 May
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0
UCSA
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Lokomotyv Kyiv1
FC Kharkiv4
Trostyanets0
SC Poltava1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Veres Rivne-
Kolos Kovalivka-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Obolon-
Polissya Zhytomyr-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kryvbas-
Dinaz Vyshgorod1
Kudrivka2
TBD-
Livyi Bereg-
Revera 19082
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi3
Real Pharma Odesa0
UCSA3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Oleksandriya-
Shakhtar-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Olympia Savyntsi2
Kremin0
Hirnyk-Sport3
Fenix Mariupol1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Zorya-
Probiy Horodenka4
Khust0
Kulikiv1
Nyva Vinnytsya0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Inhulets-
FK Mykolaiv1
Ahrobiznes Volochysk0
FC Vilkhivtsi0
Metalist Kharkiv1
FC Uzhhorod0
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)4
Nyva Ternopil1
Bukovyna2
Skala 19112
Epitsentr0
TBD-
Minaj-
FC Chernihiv1
Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka0
Victoria1
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
LNZ Cherkasy-
Rukh Lviv-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Karpaty Lviv-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ch. Odesa-
Vorskla Poltava-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dynamo Kyiv-
1/32-finals
FC Kharkiv5
SC Poltava3
TBD-
Veres Rivne-
Kolos Kovalivka-
TBD-
TBD-
Obolon-
Polissya Zhytomyr-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kryvbas-
Kudrivka3
Livyi Bereg2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi0
UCSA1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Oleksandriya-
Shakhtar-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Olympia Savyntsi4
Hirnyk-Sport2
TBD-
Zorya-
Probiy Horodenka3
Kulikiv2
TBD-
Inhulets-
FK Mykolaiv3
Metalist Kharkiv1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)0
Bukovyna1
Skala 19111
Minaj3
FC Chernihiv0
Victoria1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
LNZ Cherkasy-
Rukh Lviv-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Karpaty Lviv-
TBD-
TBD-
Ch. Odesa-
Vorskla Poltava-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dynamo Kyiv-
1/16-finals
FC Kharkiv0
Veres Rivne4
Kolos Kovalivka0
Obolon1
Polissya Zhytomyr-
TBD-
TBD-
Kryvbas-
Kudrivka0
UCSA4
TBD-
Oleksandriya-
Shakhtar-
TBD-
Olympia Savyntsi1
Zorya4
Probiy Horodenka3
Inhulets2
FK Mykolaiv1
Bukovyna2
Minaj0
Victoria2
TBD-
LNZ Cherkasy-
Rukh Lviv-
TBD-
Karpaty Lviv3
Ch. Odesa0
Vorskla Poltava-
TBD-
TBD-
Dynamo Kyiv-
1/8-finals
Veres Rivne2
Obolon1
Polissya Zhytomyr2
Kryvbas1
UCSA1
Oleksandriya4
Shakhtar1
Zorya0
Probiy Horodenka0
Bukovyna1
Victoria3
LNZ Cherkasy2
Rukh Lviv1
Karpaty Lviv0
Vorskla Poltava1
Dynamo Kyiv2
Quarter-finals
Veres Rivne0
Polissya Zhytomyr1
Oleksandriya0
Shakhtar1
Bukovyna2
Victoria1
Rukh Lviv0
Dynamo Kyiv1
Semi-finals
Polissya Zhytomyr0
Shakhtar1
Bukovyna1
Dynamo Kyiv4
Final
Shakhtar2
Dynamo Kyiv1