Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Panevezys vs FA Siauliai

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Aukstaitijos Stadium, Panevėžys
FK Panevezys Logo

FK Panevezys

3 - 2
FT
FA Siauliai Logo

FA Siauliai

Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Mandic M.
42' Event
Asamoah K.
Assist: Balsys D.
44' Event
Kurtsev O.
Assist: Asante I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The TOPLYGA game between FK Panevezys and FA Siauliai finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Panevezys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
FK Panevezys
15%
Draws
8%
FA Siauliai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Panevezys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Panevezys come out ahead of FA Siauliai on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans FK Panevezys's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
FK Panevezys Clean Sheet 20%
FA Siauliai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Panevezys FA Siauliai
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.27 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs FK Panevezys
1:0
Jun 20, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs FA Siauliai
3:2
Apr 18, 2026 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs FK Panevezys
3:1
Oct 5, 2025 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs FK Panevezys
3:3
Jul 20, 2025 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs FA Siauliai
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Panevezys Compare

Top Goalscorer Asamoah K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kurtsev O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

FA Siauliai Compare

Top Goalscorer Baftalovskyi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garbaliauskas N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Panevezys 85 / 100
FA Siauliai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Panevezys FA Siauliai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Panevezys Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FA Siauliai let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

FK Panevezys scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: FK Panevezys remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Panevezys VS FA Siauliai
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Panevezys

(Home)
13 Sept
FK Panevezys
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
07 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 3
FK Panevezys
03 Sept
Banga
0 : 3
FK Panevezys
30 Aug
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
Zalgiris
23 Aug
Suduva
2 : 0
FK Panevezys
Page 1 of 6

FA Siauliai

(Away)
20 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 0
FC Hegelmann
06 Sept
Zalgiris
1 : 0
FA Siauliai
03 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
30 Aug
FA Siauliai
1 : 2
Suduva
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 14 9 5 56:20 51
2 Suduva 28 13 11 4 39:25 50
3 Transinvest 28 13 6 9 43:35 45
4 Zalgiris 28 13 5 10 41:34 44
5 Banga 28 11 8 9 32:28 41
6 Dziugas Telsiai 28 10 8 10 36:40 38
7 FK Panevezys 28 9 5 14 29:43 32
8 FC Hegelmann 29 4 14 11 31:48 26
9 FA Siauliai 29 3 8 18 24:58 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)